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Wk 9 · 2026

UAB Blazers at South Florida Bulls — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 3-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USF by 15.8
American · 4-2

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UAB: -13.8#119
Efficiency margin
South Florida: -0.4#72
UAB: 22.9
Offense (pts/100)
South Florida: 30.0
UAB: 27.7
Defense (pts/100)
South Florida: 21.4
UAB: 66.7
Pace (plays/g)
South Florida: 59.5
UAB: 5.03
Yards / play
South Florida: 5.63
UAB: 5.14
Yards / play allowed
South Florida: 5.38
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UAB: 22.2
Points / game
South Florida: 26.2
UAB: 25.8
Points allowed
South Florida: 17.3
UAB: 335
Yards / game
South Florida: 335
UAB: 317
Yards allowed
South Florida: 341
UAB: 126
Pass yds allowed
South Florida: 184
UAB: 191
Rush yds allowed
South Florida: 158
UAB: 1.67
Turnovers / game
South Florida: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UAB form

L 13-38at MEMW 33-14vs SAMW 24-20vs NAVYL 14-21at ULW 26-20vs ULM
2026 season

South Florida form

L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season

UAB this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)

South Florida this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentUABSouth Florida
Memphis
American
at L 13-38 previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
East Carolina
American
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Temple
American
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs L 13-17 preview
UTSA
American
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat L 24-31 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, South Florida leads 2–1 · South Florida has won the last 2
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.3 points toward South Florida
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22South Florida 48 — 18 UABat UABSouth Florida
20242024-10-19UAB 25 — 35 South Floridaat USFSouth Florida
20232023-10-07South Florida 35 — 56 UABat UABUAB

UAB leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRyder Burton QB #562/110, 791 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT
Nate Rogers QB #161/2, 13 YDS
RushingRoderick Robinson II RB #274 CAR, 338 YDS
Bam McReynolds RB #354 CAR, 260 YDS, 4 TD
Ja'Vin Simpkins RB #727 CAR, 108 YDS
ReceivingCJ Smith WR #110 REC, 223 YDS, 1 TD
Ty Mims WR #014 REC, 223 YDS, 1 TD
EJ Reid WR #416 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD
Scott Isacks TE #445 REC, 46 YDS
Defense
TacklesMuaaz Byard LB #3548
Ike Esonwune LB #337
Jeremiah Jordan DB #1331
SacksMarlin Dean LB #45
Tylin Jackson DL #173
Jo'Tavion Pierce DB #02.5
InterceptionsIke Esonwune LB #32
Jeremiah Jordan DB #131
Delvon Gulley CB #51

South Florida leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMichael Van Buren Jr. QB #393/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD
Luke Kromenhoek QB #172/4, 21 YDS
RushingD.J. Crowther RB #594 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD
Jason Collins Jr. RB #241 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #339 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBryson Rodgers WR #127 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD
Joshua Porter WR #8020 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD
Cameron Seldon WR #08 REC, 116 YDS
Arhmad Branch WR #411 REC, 108 YDS
Defense
TacklesAyden Jackson DB #537
Tavin Ward S #232
Zavier Hamilton LB #2530
SacksMichael Williams II DE #42.5
Asani Redwood DT #112
Tayvion Beasley DB #151
InterceptionsTayvion Beasley DB #151
Tavin Ward S #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.