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Wk 5 · 2026

Temple Owls at South Florida Bulls — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL · ESPNU FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 2-4
17
at
7:30pET
USF -5.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -6.5 · 1 toward TEM
Ratings differential USF by 8.9
American · 4-2
13

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Temple: -6.9#96
Efficiency margin
South Florida: -0.4#72
Temple: 27.8
Offense (pts/100)
South Florida: 30.0
Temple: 25.8
Defense (pts/100)
South Florida: 21.4
Temple: 58.3
Pace (plays/g)
South Florida: 59.5
Temple: 6.41
Yards / play
South Florida: 5.63
Temple: 6.11
Yards / play allowed
South Florida: 5.38
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Temple: 24.8
Points / game
South Florida: 26.2
Temple: 26.3
Points allowed
South Florida: 17.3
Temple: 374
Yards / game
South Florida: 335
Temple: 397
Yards allowed
South Florida: 341
Temple: 232
Pass yds allowed
South Florida: 184
Temple: 166
Rush yds allowed
South Florida: 158
Temple: 1.00
Turnovers / game
South Florida: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Temple form

L 20-34vs CONNW 17-13at USFL 17-21vs ARMYL 48-49at TOLL 9-27vs PSU
2026 season

South Florida form

L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season

Temple this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

South Florida this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentTempleSouth Florida
Army
American
vs L 17-21 previewat W 28-24 preview
East Carolina
American
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
UAB
American
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Memphis
American
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Temple leads 7–4 · Temple won the last one
11 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.4 points toward South Florida
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03Temple 17 — 13 South Floridaat USFTemple
20232023-11-11Temple 23 — 27 South Floridaat USFSouth Florida
20222022-11-05South Florida 28 — 54 Templeat TEMTemple
20212021-10-23Temple 14 — 34 South Floridaat USFSouth Florida
20202020-10-17South Florida 37 — 39 Templeat TEMTemple
20192019-11-07Temple 17 — 7 South Floridaat USFTemple
20182018-11-17South Florida 17 — 27 Templeat TEMTemple
20172017-09-21Temple 7 — 43 South Floridaat USFSouth Florida
20162016-10-21South Florida 30 — 46 Templeat TEMTemple
20152015-11-14Temple 23 — 44 South Floridaat USFSouth Florida
20122012-10-06South Florida 28 — 37 Templeat TEMTemple

Temple leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAjani Sheppard QB #1340/72, 631 YDS, 6 TD
Jaxon Smolik QB #1414/23, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingKeveun Mason RB #2668 CAR, 361 YDS, 2 TD
Ajani Sheppard QB #1347 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD
Samuel Brown V RB #525 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingColin Chase WR #19 REC, 201 YDS, 2 TD
Jayce Freeman WR #108 REC, 162 YDS, 1 TD
Samuel Brown V RB #54 REC, 105 YDS, 2 TD
JoJo Bermudez WR #1712 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesCurly Ordonez LB #3350
Saboor Karriem S #235
Eric Stuart LB #823
SacksJaylon Joseph LB #101
Curly Ordonez LB #331
Kevin Hornbeak Jr. DL #931
InterceptionsTyree Alualu LB #441
Jamarcus Pierre S #241

South Florida leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMichael Van Buren Jr. QB #393/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD
Luke Kromenhoek QB #172/4, 21 YDS
RushingD.J. Crowther RB #594 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD
Jason Collins Jr. RB #241 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #339 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBryson Rodgers WR #127 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD
Joshua Porter WR #8020 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD
Cameron Seldon WR #08 REC, 116 YDS
Arhmad Branch WR #411 REC, 108 YDS
Defense
TacklesAyden Jackson DB #537
Tavin Ward S #232
Zavier Hamilton LB #2530
SacksMichael Williams II DE #42.5
Asani Redwood DT #112
Tayvion Beasley DB #151
InterceptionsTayvion Beasley DB #151
Tavin Ward S #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.