Wk 6 · 2026
South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners — Thu, Oct 8
Thu, Oct 8 ·
Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
· ESPN FINAL
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
at
7:30pET
UTSA -5.5 · total 49.5 DraftKings opened -6.5 · 1 toward USF
Ratings differential UTSA by 3.1
What is at stake
A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
South Florida form
L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season
UTSA form
W 31-24vs USFW 16-14at RICEW 59-45vs CSUL 6-30at TEXW 31-26at TXST
2026 season
South Florida this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
UTSA this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | South Florida | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| UAB American | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| FAU American | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Tulane American | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, UTSA leads 2–1 · UTSA won the last one
3 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.0 points toward UTSA
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-08 | South Florida 24 — 31 UTSA | at UTSA | UTSA |
| 2025 | 2025-11-06 | UTSA 23 — 55 South Florida | at USF | South Florida |
| 2023 | 2023-11-17 | South Florida 21 — 49 UTSA | at UTSA | UTSA |
South Florida leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 93/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD |
| Luke Kromenhoek QB #17 | 2/4, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | D.J. Crowther RB #5 | 94 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD |
| Jason Collins Jr. RB #2 | 41 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 39 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Bryson Rodgers WR #1 | 27 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD |
| Joshua Porter WR #80 | 20 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Seldon WR #0 | 8 REC, 116 YDS | |
| Arhmad Branch WR #4 | 11 REC, 108 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Ayden Jackson DB #5 | 37 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 32 | |
| Zavier Hamilton LB #25 | 30 | |
| Sacks | Michael Williams II DE #4 | 2.5 |
| Asani Redwood DT #11 | 2 | |
| Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 1 |
UTSA leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Owen McCown QB #13 | 125/182, 1219 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| David Amador II WR #18 | 1/2, 44 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Will Henderson III RB #11 | 78 CAR, 484 YDS, 3 TD |
| A'Marion Peterson RB #28 | 39 CAR, 286 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Brandon High Jr. RB #10 | 48 CAR, 231 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | DJ Allen Jr. WR #15 | 18 REC, 269 YDS, 2 TD |
| AJ Wilson WR #84 | 18 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Mekhi Anderson WR #14 | 23 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| David Amador II WR #18 | 28 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Brandon Tucker LB #23 | 46 |
| Darion White LB #44 | 36 | |
| Owen Pewee LB #2 | 33 | |
| Sacks | Owen Pewee LB #2 | 1 |
| Camron Cooper LB #1 | 1 | |
| James Walley Jr. LB #34 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Zach Morris CB #20 | 1 |
| Joel Rogers S #14 | 1 | |
| Nate Robinson Jr. S #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.