Wk 12 · 2026
South Florida Bulls at Florida Atlantic Owls — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 4-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USF by 3.3
American · 4-1
What is at stake
A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
South Florida form
L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season
FAU form
W 66-10vs TXSOW 45-17at ULMW 16-10vs FIUW 38-30vs NAVYL 21-66at FLA
2026 season
South Florida this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
FAU this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | South Florida | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FIU CUSA | vs W 19-9 preview | vs W 16-10 preview |
| Army American | at W 28-24 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| UTSA American | at L 24-31 preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| East Carolina American | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, South Florida leads 4–2 · South Florida has won the last 2
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.3 points toward South Florida
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-18 | FAU 13 — 48 South Florida | at USF | South Florida |
| 2024 | 2024-11-01 | South Florida 44 — 21 FAU | at FAU | South Florida |
| 2023 | 2023-10-14 | FAU 56 — 14 South Florida | at USF | FAU |
| 2013 | 2013-09-14 | FAU 28 — 10 South Florida | at USF | FAU |
| 2010 | 2010-10-02 | FAU 3 — 31 South Florida | at USF | South Florida |
| 2007 | 2007-10-06 | South Florida 35 — 23 FAU | at FAU | South Florida |
South Florida leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 93/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD |
| Luke Kromenhoek QB #17 | 2/4, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | D.J. Crowther RB #5 | 94 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD |
| Jason Collins Jr. RB #2 | 41 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 39 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Bryson Rodgers WR #1 | 27 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD |
| Joshua Porter WR #80 | 20 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Seldon WR #0 | 8 REC, 116 YDS | |
| Arhmad Branch WR #4 | 11 REC, 108 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Ayden Jackson DB #5 | 37 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 32 | |
| Zavier Hamilton LB #25 | 30 | |
| Sacks | Michael Williams II DE #4 | 2.5 |
| Asani Redwood DT #11 | 2 | |
| Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 1 |
FAU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Caden Veltkamp QB #10 | 128/175, 1427 YDS, 12 TD, 2 INT |
| Drew Devillier QB #18 | 6/12, 73 YDS | |
| Rushing | Ethan Ervin RB #21 | 71 CAR, 315 YDS, 2 TD |
| Leonard Farrow RB #5 | 39 CAR, 179 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Brady Tillman III RB #22 | 25 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Kelby Valsin WR #2 | 40 REC, 512 YDS, 5 TD |
| Easton Messer WR #8 | 32 REC, 445 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Dominique Henry WR #9 | 24 REC, 262 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Tucker Holloway WR #3 | 4 REC, 65 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Joseph Sipp Jr. LB #18 | 33 |
| Leon Hart Jr. LB #6 | 26 | |
| Jayden Sweeney S #22 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Joseph Sipp Jr. LB #18 | 2 |
| Josh Roberts DB #10 | 1.5 | |
| Tycoolhill Luman DL #14 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Bo Simpson-Nealy DB #20 | 2 |
| Chris Tooley III CB #8 | 1 | |
| Jayden Sweeney S #22 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.