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Wk 7 · 2026

Arkansas Razorbacks at Vanderbilt Commodores — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN · ESPN2

Weather at kickoff

48°F clear
1% chance of precipitation · wind 10 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential VAN by 4.6

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Arkansas: +0.5#67
Efficiency margin
Vanderbilt: +2.7#61
Arkansas: 30.7
Offense (pts/100)
Vanderbilt: 31.5
Arkansas: 21.3
Defense (pts/100)
Vanderbilt: 19.8
Arkansas: 68.2
Pace (plays/g)
Vanderbilt: 65.0
Arkansas: 4.80
Yards / play
Vanderbilt: 5.36
Arkansas: 5.94
Yards / play allowed
Vanderbilt: 5.55
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Arkansas: 19.3
Points / game
Vanderbilt: 24.0
Arkansas: 27.7
Points allowed
Vanderbilt: 29.5
Arkansas: 327
Yards / game
Vanderbilt: 348
Arkansas: 352
Yards allowed
Vanderbilt: 354
Arkansas: 203
Pass yds allowed
Vanderbilt: 214
Arkansas: 150
Rush yds allowed
Vanderbilt: 140
Arkansas: 1.33
Turnovers / game
Vanderbilt: 1.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Arkansas form

L 17-24vs TENNL 7-34at TA&MW 34-6vs TLSAL 17-45vs UGAL 10-43at UTAH
2026 season

Vanderbilt form

L 17-52vs MISSL 14-38at UGAL 15-21at AUBW 35-31vs NCSUW 35-26vs DEL
2026 season

Arkansas this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)

Vanderbilt this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentArkansasVanderbilt
Georgia
SEC
vs L 17-45 previewat L 14-38 preview
Tennessee
SEC
vs L 17-24 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Auburn
SEC
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat L 15-21 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Arkansas leads 3–1 · Vanderbilt won the last one
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.5 points toward Arkansas
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20182018-10-27Vanderbilt 45 — 31 Arkansasat ARKVanderbilt
20112011-10-29Arkansas 31 — 28 Vanderbiltat VANArkansas
20102010-10-30Vanderbilt 14 — 49 Arkansasat ARKArkansas
20062006-09-16Arkansas 21 — 19 Vanderbiltat VANArkansas

Arkansas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKJ Jackson QB #795/157, 1038 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
AJ Hill QB #216/28, 181 YDS, 1 TD
RushingBraylen Russell RB #040 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
Sutton Smith RB #539 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
KJ Jackson QB #739 CAR, 85 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingChris Marshall WR #635 REC, 549 YDS, 2 TD
Ismael Cisse WR #47 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD
Jamari Hawkins WR #96 REC, 82 YDS
Ty Lockwood TE #8510 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBen Bogle LB #4435
Khmori House DB #633
Ja'Quavion Smith LB #2531
SacksQuincy Rhodes Jr. DL #972
Khmori House DB #62
Charlie Collins DL #91.5
InterceptionsChristian Harrison DB #11

Vanderbilt leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJared Curtis QB #263/98, 746 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Blaze Berlowitz QB #126/48, 368 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingSedrick Alexander RB #2845 CAR, 200 YDS, 4 TD
Makhilyn Young RB #2234 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Jared Curtis QB #241 CAR, 133 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Sherrill WR #028 REC, 474 YDS, 3 TD
Tristen Brown WR #59 REC, 130 YDS
Jayvontay Conner TE #811 REC, 126 YDS
Ja'Cory Thomas WR #66 REC, 78 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Heard S #840
Bryan Longwell LB #1131
Nick Rinaldi LB #2426
SacksNick Rinaldi LB #243.5
CJ Heard S #83
Issa Ouattara DL #52
InterceptionsMiles Capers EDGE #291
Bryce Cowan LB #221
Martel Hight CB #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.