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Wk 2 · 2026

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Michigan State Spartans — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI · BTN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
MSU -17.5 · total 49.5 DraftKings opened -15.5 · 2 toward MSU
Ratings differential MSU by 18.3
Big Ten · 2-4
35

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

E Michigan: -13.9#120
Efficiency margin
Michigan St: +2.0#63
E Michigan: 23.2
Offense (pts/100)
Michigan St: 30.3
E Michigan: 28.1
Defense (pts/100)
Michigan St: 19.3
E Michigan: 66.4
Pace (plays/g)
Michigan St: 65.3
E Michigan: 4.91
Yards / play
Michigan St: 4.77
E Michigan: 5.85
Yards / play allowed
Michigan St: 5.66
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

E Michigan: 22.6
Points / game
Michigan St: 21.3
E Michigan: 24.7
Points allowed
Michigan St: 25.7
E Michigan: 326
Yards / game
Michigan St: 312
E Michigan: 365
Yards allowed
Michigan St: 340
E Michigan: 230
Pass yds allowed
Michigan St: 198
E Michigan: 135
Rush yds allowed
Michigan St: 142
E Michigan: 1.14
Turnovers / game
Michigan St: 1.17
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

E Michigan form

W 25-23at AKRW 38-14at MASSW 29-3vs LINL 10-54at WISL 7-35at MSU
2026 season

Michigan St form

L 37-38vs ILLL 3-31at WISL 13-31vs NEBL 10-27at NDW 35-7vs EMU
2026 season

E Michigan this season

Straight up4-3 · 57% (7 games)
Against the spread3-4 · 43% (7 games)
Over / under2-5 · 29% (7 games)

Michigan St this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-2-1 · 60% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentE MichiganMichigan St
Wisconsin
Big Ten
at L 10-54 previewat L 3-31 preview
Toledo
MAC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs W 30-20 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Michigan St leads 5–0 · Michigan St has won the last 5
5 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 33.4 points toward Michigan St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12E Michigan 7 — 35 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St
20142014-09-20E Michigan 14 — 73 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St
20122012-09-22E Michigan 7 — 23 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St
20082008-09-06E Michigan 10 — 42 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St
20062006-09-09E Michigan 20 — 52 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St

E Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNoah Kim QB #1127/203, 1187 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
Jace Stuckey QB #122/2, 14 YDS
RushingAmareon Blue RB #1560 CAR, 309 YDS, 3 TD
Braydon Bennett RB #2844 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD
Joey Mattord RB #2435 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingHarold Mack WR #523 REC, 264 YDS, 2 TD
Benson Prosper WR #324 REC, 251 YDS, 1 TD
Joshua Long TE #922 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD
Nick Devereaux WR #215 REC, 143 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesZach Mowchan LB #1150
Jason Marshall DB #1331
Bryce Llewellyn DB #628
SacksQuincy Byas DL #542
Ronn Hardin DL #882
Joseph Oluwayemi DL #981
InterceptionsCaleb Dobbs DB #172
Jason Marshall DB #131
Rayquan Adkins DB #251

Michigan St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAlessio Milivojevic QB #1180/129, 851 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
Cam Fancher QB #28/11, 59 YDS, 1 INT
RushingCam Edwards RB #064 CAR, 304 YDS, 3 TD
Jaziun Patterson RB #444 CAR, 162 YDS, 2 TD
Marvis Parrish RB #2129 CAR, 89 YDS
ReceivingRodney Bullard Jr. WR #315 REC, 206 YDS, 1 TD
Jayden Savoury TE #3117 REC, 179 YDS
Chrishon McCray WR #1318 REC, 150 YDS
Fredrick Moore WR #614 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDevin Vaught S #233
Dion Crawford LB #1823
Brady Pretzlaff LB #4523
SacksEli Coenen DL #963
Isaac Smith EDGE #131
Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #231
InterceptionsKenny Soares Jr. EDGE #231
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.