Wk 8 · 2026
Kansas State Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Weather
92° / 79° partly cloudy
6% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Big 12 · 3-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential KSU by 3.6
Big 12 · 3-2
What is at stake
A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Kansas St form
L 16-35vs HOUL 26-31at CINW 31-20vs TULNW 34-7vs WSUW 71-3vs NICH
2026 season
Arizona St form
W 30-12vs HAWL 19-55vs BAYW 24-17at KUL 20-48at TA&MW 70-7vs MORG
2026 season
Kansas St this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Arizona St this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Kansas St | Arizona St |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas Big 12 | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | N W 24-17 preview |
| Colorado Big 12 | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Oklahoma St Big 12 | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Arizona Big 12 | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Arizona St leads 1–0 · Arizona St won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
10.0 points toward Arizona St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-16 | Arizona St 24 — 14 Kansas St | at KSU | Arizona St |
Kansas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Avery Johnson QB #2 | 88/133, 910 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Blake Barnett QB #3 | 4/5, 41 YDS | |
| Rushing | Avery Johnson QB #2 | 30 CAR, 291 YDS, 3 TD |
| Rodney Fields Jr. RB #20 | 49 CAR, 274 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Joe Jackson RB #4 | 37 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Derrick Salley Jr. WR #15 | 11 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jaron Tibbs WR #12 | 16 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Josh Manning WR #5 | 14 REC, 149 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Garrett Oakley TE #86 | 13 REC, 147 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Gabe Powers LB #35 | 22 |
| Mekhi Mason LB #4 | 17 | |
| Logan Bartley S #10 | 17 | |
| Sacks | Wendell Gregory DE #1 | 2.5 |
| Darien Whitaker Jr. LB #6 | 2.5 | |
| Jayden Bryant DE #40 | 2 |
Arizona St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Cutter Boley QB #8 | 78/127, 1040 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT |
| Mikey Keene QB #12 | 4/7, 32 YDS | |
| Rushing | Kyson Brown RB #1 | 50 CAR, 261 YDS, 1 TD |
| Marquis Gillis RB #6 | 17 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jason Brown Jr. RB #22 | 9 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Reed Harris WR #3 | 26 REC, 499 YDS, 5 TD |
| Omarion Miller WR #4 | 25 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Grayson Rigdon RB #21 | 2 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cardae Mack RB #25 | 2 REC, 38 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Owen Long LB #22 | 38 |
| Martell Hughes LB #8 | 29 | |
| Montana Warren DB #7 | 25 | |
| Sacks | C.J. Fite DL #99 | 2 |
| Clayton Smith DL #10 | 1 | |
| Emar'rion Winston DL #4 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Lyrik Rawls DB #2 | 1 |
| Owen Long LB #22 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.