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Wk 10 · 2026

Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 2-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ASU by 7.9

What is at stake

A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Colorado: -4.5#87
Efficiency margin
Arizona St: +1.0#65
Colorado: 26.8
Offense (pts/100)
Arizona St: 31.7
Colorado: 22.3
Defense (pts/100)
Arizona St: 21.7
Colorado: 74.4
Pace (plays/g)
Arizona St: 67.0
Colorado: 5.30
Yards / play
Arizona St: 6.29
Colorado: 5.00
Yards / play allowed
Arizona St: 5.19
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Colorado: 18.6
Points / game
Arizona St: 32.6
Colorado: 25.4
Points allowed
Arizona St: 27.8
Colorado: 394
Yards / game
Arizona St: 421
Colorado: 345
Yards allowed
Arizona St: 347
Colorado: 216
Pass yds allowed
Arizona St: 211
Colorado: 129
Rush yds allowed
Arizona St: 136
Colorado: 2.20
Turnovers / game
Arizona St: 1.60
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Colorado form

L 7-29vs TTUL 13-23at BAYL 7-41at NUW 52-21vs WEBW 14-13at GT
2026 season

Arizona St form

W 30-12vs HAWL 19-55vs BAYW 24-17at KUL 20-48at TA&MW 70-7vs MORG
2026 season

Colorado this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Arizona St this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentColoradoArizona St
Baylor
Big 12
at L 13-23 previewvs L 19-55 preview
Texas Tech
Big 12
vs L 7-29 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Oklahoma St
Big 12
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Kansas St
Big 12
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
UCF
Big 12
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Arizona St leads 11–4 · Arizona St won the last one
15 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 14.3 points toward Arizona St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22Arizona St 42 — 17 Coloradoat COLOArizona St
20232023-10-07Colorado 27 — 24 Arizona Stat ASUColorado
20222022-10-29Arizona St 42 — 34 Coloradoat COLOArizona St
20212021-09-25Colorado 13 — 35 Arizona Stat ASUArizona St
20192019-09-21Colorado 34 — 31 Arizona Stat ASUColorado
20182018-10-06Arizona St 21 — 28 Coloradoat COLOColorado
20172017-11-04Colorado 30 — 41 Arizona Stat ASUArizona St
20162016-10-15Arizona St 16 — 40 Coloradoat COLOColorado
20152015-10-10Colorado 23 — 48 Arizona Stat ASUArizona St
20142014-09-13Arizona St 38 — 24 Coloradoat COLOArizona St
20132013-10-12Colorado 13 — 54 Arizona Stat ASUArizona St
20122012-10-11Arizona St 51 — 17 Coloradoat COLOArizona St
20112011-10-29Colorado 14 — 48 Arizona Stat ASUArizona St
20072007-09-08Colorado 14 — 33 Arizona Stat ASUArizona St
20062006-09-16Arizona St 21 — 3 Coloradoat COLOArizona St

Colorado leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJulian Lewis QB #1061/95, 733 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
Isaac Wilson QB #1640/71, 443 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
RushingMicah Welch RB #2944 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD
JaQuail Smith RB #2338 CAR, 186 YDS
Damian Henderson II RB #2626 CAR, 127 YDS
ReceivingJoseph Williams WR #832 REC, 454 YDS, 5 TD
DeAndre Moore Jr. WR #318 REC, 242 YDS, 1 TD
Quanell Farrakhan Jr. WR #1412 REC, 148 YDS
Quentin Gibson WR #69 REC, 73 YDS
Defense
TacklesRandon Fontenette DB #742
Gideon Lampron LB #4438
Naeten Mitchell DB #437
SacksLamont Lester Jr. DL #564
Toby Anene DE #533
Santana Hopper DL #971
InterceptionsRandon Fontenette DB #71
Jason Stokes Jr. DB #131

Arizona St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCutter Boley QB #878/127, 1040 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
Mikey Keene QB #124/7, 32 YDS
RushingKyson Brown RB #150 CAR, 261 YDS, 1 TD
Marquis Gillis RB #617 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
Jason Brown Jr. RB #229 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingReed Harris WR #326 REC, 499 YDS, 5 TD
Omarion Miller WR #425 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD
Grayson Rigdon RB #212 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD
Cardae Mack RB #252 REC, 38 YDS
Defense
TacklesOwen Long LB #2238
Martell Hughes LB #829
Montana Warren DB #725
SacksC.J. Fite DL #992
Clayton Smith DL #101
Emar'rion Winston DL #41
InterceptionsLyrik Rawls DB #21
Owen Long LB #221
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.