Wk 11 · 2026
Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Acrisure Bounce House, Orlando, FL
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 3-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UCF by 6.9
Big 12 · 3-3
What is at stake
A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Arizona St form
W 30-12vs HAWL 19-55vs BAYW 24-17at KUL 20-48at TA&MW 70-7vs MORG
2026 season
UCF form
L 28-42at OKSTL 17-27at HOUW 21-13vs TCUW 44-30vs GASTL 7-12at PITT
2026 season
Arizona St this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
UCF this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Arizona St | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas Big 12 | N W 24-17 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Baylor Big 12 | vs L 19-55 preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| BYU Big 12 | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Colorado Big 12 | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Oklahoma St Big 12 | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at L 28-42 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Arizona St leads 1–0 · Arizona St won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.0 points toward Arizona St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-09 | UCF 31 — 35 Arizona St | at ASU | Arizona St |
Arizona St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Cutter Boley QB #8 | 78/127, 1040 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT |
| Mikey Keene QB #12 | 4/7, 32 YDS | |
| Rushing | Kyson Brown RB #1 | 50 CAR, 261 YDS, 1 TD |
| Marquis Gillis RB #6 | 17 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jason Brown Jr. RB #22 | 9 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Reed Harris WR #3 | 26 REC, 499 YDS, 5 TD |
| Omarion Miller WR #4 | 25 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Grayson Rigdon RB #21 | 2 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cardae Mack RB #25 | 2 REC, 38 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Owen Long LB #22 | 38 |
| Martell Hughes LB #8 | 29 | |
| Montana Warren DB #7 | 25 | |
| Sacks | C.J. Fite DL #99 | 2 |
| Clayton Smith DL #10 | 1 | |
| Emar'rion Winston DL #4 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Lyrik Rawls DB #2 | 1 |
| Owen Long LB #22 | 1 |
UCF leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Keyone Jenkins QB #12 | 53/76, 541 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Alonza Barnett III QB #14 | 31/49, 344 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Duke Watson RB #26 | 49 CAR, 404 YDS, 3 TD |
| Landen Chambers RB #11 | 24 CAR, 138 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Taevion Swint RB #4 | 25 CAR, 135 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Josh Derry WR #5 | 17 REC, 220 YDS, 1 TD |
| Waden Charles WR #9 | 14 REC, 169 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Ric'Darious Farmer WR #6 | 9 REC, 95 YDS | |
| Caden Piening TE #18 | 9 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Tackett Curtis LB #24 | 33 |
| Demari Henderson DB #8 | 29 | |
| Lewis Carter LB #20 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Isaiah Nixon EDGE #6 | 2.5 |
| Aymeric Koumba EDGE #12 | 1.5 | |
| Demari Henderson DB #8 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Demari Henderson DB #8 | 2 |
| Jayden Williams DB #2 | 1 | |
| Jayden Bellamy DB #1 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.