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Wk 12 · 2026

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Arizona State Sun Devils — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 4-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ASU by 0.3

What is at stake

A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Oklahoma St is ranked #18 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Oklahoma St: +3.1#58
Efficiency margin
Arizona St: +1.0#65
Oklahoma St: 33.6
Offense (pts/100)
Arizona St: 31.7
Oklahoma St: 21.5
Defense (pts/100)
Arizona St: 21.7
Oklahoma St: 74.0
Pace (plays/g)
Arizona St: 67.0
Oklahoma St: 7.05
Yards / play
Arizona St: 6.29
Oklahoma St: 4.94
Yards / play allowed
Arizona St: 5.19
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Oklahoma St: 38.2
Points / game
Arizona St: 32.6
Oklahoma St: 21.4
Points allowed
Arizona St: 27.8
Oklahoma St: 521
Yards / game
Arizona St: 421
Oklahoma St: 329
Yards allowed
Arizona St: 347
Oklahoma St: 180
Pass yds allowed
Arizona St: 211
Oklahoma St: 149
Rush yds allowed
Arizona St: 136
Oklahoma St: 1.80
Turnovers / game
Arizona St: 1.60
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Oklahoma St form

W 42-28vs UCFW 41-24at WVUW 59-0vs MURW 39-31vs OREL 10-24at TLSA
2026 season

Arizona St form

W 30-12vs HAWL 19-55vs BAYW 24-17at KUL 20-48at TA&MW 70-7vs MORG
2026 season

Oklahoma St this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Arizona St this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentOklahoma StArizona St
UCF
Big 12
vs W 42-28 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Colorado
Big 12
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Kansas St
Big 12
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Texas Tech
Big 12
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Kansas
Big 12
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewN W 24-17 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Oklahoma St leads 2–1 · Arizona St won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.7 points toward Oklahoma St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-02Arizona St 42 — 21 Oklahoma Stat OKSTArizona St
20232023-09-09Oklahoma St 27 — 15 Arizona Stat ASUOklahoma St
20222022-09-10Arizona St 17 — 34 Oklahoma Stat OKSTOklahoma St

Oklahoma St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDrew Mestemaker QB #1795/141, 1271 YDS, 11 TD, 5 INT
Broderick Vehrs QB #86/6, 37 YDS, 1 TD
RushingCaleb Hawkins RB #2483 CAR, 441 YDS, 2 TD
Ayo Adeyi RB #2524 CAR, 159 YDS
Drew Mestemaker QB #1713 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingWyatt Young WR #1022 REC, 410 YDS, 3 TD
Justin Bowick WR #020 REC, 344 YDS, 4 TD
Chris Barnes WR #29 REC, 145 YDS
Terrence Lewis WR #312 REC, 137 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesEthan Wesloski LB #3236
Tate Romney LB #329
Quinton Hammonds S #725
SacksJaleel Johnson DE #951.5
Malik Charles DE #01.5
Ethan Wesloski LB #321
InterceptionsMalik Charles DE #01
Mose Phillips III S #181
LaDainian Fields CB #91

Arizona St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCutter Boley QB #878/127, 1040 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
Mikey Keene QB #124/7, 32 YDS
RushingKyson Brown RB #150 CAR, 261 YDS, 1 TD
Marquis Gillis RB #617 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
Jason Brown Jr. RB #229 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingReed Harris WR #326 REC, 499 YDS, 5 TD
Omarion Miller WR #425 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD
Grayson Rigdon RB #212 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD
Cardae Mack RB #252 REC, 38 YDS
Defense
TacklesOwen Long LB #2238
Martell Hughes LB #829
Montana Warren DB #725
SacksC.J. Fite DL #992
Clayton Smith DL #101
Emar'rion Winston DL #41
InterceptionsLyrik Rawls DB #21
Owen Long LB #221
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.