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Wk 12 · 2026

Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MIZ by 7.0
SEC · 5-1

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. NIGHT: 6 - 8pm ET start. Missouri is ranked #14 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Kentucky: +10.6#29
Efficiency margin
Missouri: +15.2#12
Kentucky: 36.8
Offense (pts/100)
Missouri: 37.0
Kentucky: 17.2
Defense (pts/100)
Missouri: 12.8
Kentucky: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Missouri: 67.8
Kentucky: 6.32
Yards / play
Missouri: 6.34
Kentucky: 5.31
Yards / play allowed
Missouri: 4.51
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Kentucky: 34.7
Points / game
Missouri: 35.8
Kentucky: 28.0
Points allowed
Missouri: 17.7
Kentucky: 414
Yards / game
Missouri: 430
Kentucky: 382
Yards allowed
Missouri: 291
Kentucky: 246
Pass yds allowed
Missouri: 214
Kentucky: 136
Rush yds allowed
Missouri: 77
Kentucky: 0.83
Turnovers / game
Missouri: 0.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Kentucky form

W 35-34vs LSUW 35-34at SCW 45-21vs USAW 31-21at TA&ML 17-45vs ALA
2026 season

Missouri form

W 27-6vs TA&MW 45-17vs FLAL 24-31at MSSTW 27-17vs TROYW 38-21at KU
2026 season

Kentucky this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Missouri this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentKentuckyMissouri
Texas A&M
SEC
at W 31-21 previewvs W 27-6 preview
Oklahoma
SEC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Florida
SEC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs W 45-17 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Kentucky leads 7–5 · Missouri won the last one
12 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.4 points toward Missouri
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-10-14Missouri 38 — 21 Kentuckyat UKMissouri
20222022-11-05Kentucky 21 — 17 Missouriat MIZKentucky
20212021-09-11Missouri 28 — 35 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20202020-10-24Kentucky 10 — 20 Missouriat MIZMissouri
20192019-10-26Missouri 7 — 29 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20182018-10-27Kentucky 15 — 14 Missouriat MIZKentucky
20172017-10-07Missouri 34 — 40 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20162016-10-29Kentucky 35 — 21 Missouriat MIZKentucky
20152015-09-26Missouri 13 — 21 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20142014-11-01Kentucky 10 — 20 Missouriat MIZMissouri
20132013-11-09Missouri 48 — 17 Kentuckyat UKMissouri
20122012-10-27Kentucky 10 — 33 Missouriat MIZMissouri

Kentucky leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKenny Minchey QB #397/142, 1148 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT
Callum Wither QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingCJ Baxter RB #168 CAR, 361 YDS, 6 TD
Jason Patterson RB #2645 CAR, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Jovantae Barnes RB #220 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby WR #1925 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD
Willie Rodriguez TE #8122 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD
Nic Anderson WR #49 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Henry Boyer TE #878 REC, 116 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesGrant Godfrey LB #2243
Jordan Castell DB #542
Ty Bryant DB #1439
SacksMi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #902.5
Grant Godfrey LB #222
Tavion Gadson DL #941.5
InterceptionsJordan Castell DB #52
Grant Godfrey LB #221
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #901

Missouri leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAustin Simmons QB #1393/137, 1287 YDS, 13 TD
Matt Zollers QB #58/13, 87 YDS
RushingJamal Roberts RB #20113 CAR, 606 YDS, 6 TD
Xai'Shaun Edwards RB #2433 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
Preston Hatfield RB #284 CAR, 34 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCayden Lee WR #1935 REC, 522 YDS, 4 TD
Donovan Olugbode WR #126 REC, 407 YDS, 6 TD
Shaun Terry II WR #49 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
Naeshaun Montgomery WR #07 REC, 82 YDS
Defense
TacklesNicholas Rodriguez LB #550
Santana Banner S #1544
Robert Woodyard Jr. LB #036
SacksDaeden Hopkins EDGE #106
Donta Simpson DT #83
Jason Dowell DT #922
InterceptionsRobert Woodyard Jr. LB #01
Jahlil Florence CB #211
Trajen Greco S #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.