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Wk 11 · 2026

Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
#16 Florida Gators
SEC · 4-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UK by 0.0
Kentucky Wildcats
SEC · 5-1

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. NIGHT: 6 - 8pm ET start. Florida is ranked #16 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Florida: +13.0#22
Efficiency margin
Kentucky: +10.6#29
Florida: 40.3
Offense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 36.8
Florida: 18.4
Defense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 17.2
Florida: 69.8
Pace (plays/g)
Kentucky: 65.5
Florida: 6.79
Yards / play
Kentucky: 6.32
Florida: 5.64
Yards / play allowed
Kentucky: 5.31
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Florida: 41.7
Points / game
Kentucky: 34.7
Florida: 29.0
Points allowed
Kentucky: 28.0
Florida: 474
Yards / game
Kentucky: 414
Florida: 393
Yards allowed
Kentucky: 382
Florida: 269
Pass yds allowed
Kentucky: 246
Florida: 124
Rush yds allowed
Kentucky: 136
Florida: 1.17
Turnovers / game
Kentucky: 0.83
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Florida form

L 19-38vs SCL 17-45at MIZW 52-28vs MISSW 44-39at AUBW 52-3vs CAM
2026 season

Kentucky form

W 35-34vs LSUW 35-34at SCW 45-21vs USAW 31-21at TA&ML 17-45vs ALA
2026 season

Florida this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Kentucky this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentFloridaKentucky
Missouri
SEC
at L 17-45 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
South Carolina
SEC
vs L 19-38 previewat W 35-34 preview
Oklahoma
SEC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Vanderbilt
SEC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Florida leads 15–5 · Kentucky won the last one
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 13.9 points toward Florida
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-08Florida 7 — 38 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20242024-10-19Kentucky 20 — 48 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20232023-09-30Florida 14 — 33 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20222022-09-10Kentucky 26 — 16 Floridaat FLAKentucky
20212021-10-02Florida 13 — 20 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20202020-11-28Kentucky 10 — 34 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20192019-09-14Florida 29 — 21 Kentuckyat UKFlorida
20182018-09-08Kentucky 27 — 16 Floridaat FLAKentucky
20172017-09-23Florida 28 — 27 Kentuckyat UKFlorida
20162016-09-10Kentucky 7 — 45 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20152015-09-19Florida 14 — 9 Kentuckyat UKFlorida
20142014-09-13Kentucky 30 — 36 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20132013-09-28Florida 24 — 7 Kentuckyat UKFlorida
20122012-09-22Kentucky 0 — 38 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20112011-09-24Florida 48 — 10 Kentuckyat UKFlorida
20102010-09-25Kentucky 14 — 48 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20092009-09-26Florida 41 — 7 Kentuckyat UKFlorida
20082008-10-25Kentucky 5 — 63 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20072007-10-20Florida 45 — 37 Kentuckyat UKFlorida
20062006-09-23Kentucky 7 — 26 Floridaat FLAFlorida

Florida leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAaron Philo QB #1284/121, 1114 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT
Tramell Jones Jr. QB #917/21, 212 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
RushingJadan Baugh RB #1395 CAR, 613 YDS, 11 TD
Duke Clark RB #2033 CAR, 260 YDS, 3 TD
Aaron Philo QB #1231 CAR, 72 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingDallas Wilson WR #618 REC, 302 YDS, 3 TD
Vernell Brown III WR #117 REC, 271 YDS, 2 TD
TJ Abrams WR #48 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD
Bailey Stockton WR #315 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMyles Graham LB #534
Aaron Chiles LB #822
Jayden Woods LB #021
SacksJayden Woods LB #04
Emmanuel Oyebadejo DL #993.5
Kamran James DL #242
InterceptionsDJ Coleman S #332
Cormani McClain CB #251
Dijon Johnson CB #271
full roster and per-player history

Kentucky leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKenny Minchey QB #397/142, 1148 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT
Callum Wither QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingCJ Baxter RB #168 CAR, 361 YDS, 6 TD
Jason Patterson RB #2645 CAR, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Jovantae Barnes RB #220 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby WR #1925 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD
Willie Rodriguez TE #8122 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD
Nic Anderson WR #49 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Henry Boyer TE #878 REC, 116 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesGrant Godfrey LB #2243
Jordan Castell DB #542
Ty Bryant DB #1439
SacksMi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #902.5
Grant Godfrey LB #222
Tavion Gadson DL #941.5
InterceptionsJordan Castell DB #52
Grant Godfrey LB #221
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #901
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.