Wk 12 · 2026
Northern Illinois Huskies at North Dakota State Bison — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Fargodome, Fargo, ND
· CW
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
Mountain West · 0-5
at
4:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NDSU by 22.6
Mountain West · 5-1
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
N Illinois form
L 7-28vs AFL 14-35at GASTL 17-42at ARIZL 24-28vs ILSTL 0-40at IOWA
2026 season
N Dakota St form
L 7-13at UNLVW 28-0vs WYOW 31-10at SACW 38-32at AFW 38-0vs FOR
2026 season
N Illinois this season
Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
N Dakota St this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | N Illinois | N Dakota St |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force Mountain West | vs L 7-28 preview | at W 38-32 preview |
| Wyoming Mountain West | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs W 28-0 preview |
| Hawai'i Mountain West | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at L 7-13 preview |
| San José St Mountain West | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
N Illinois leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Taron Dickens QB #5 | 84/120, 837 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT |
| Brady Davidson QB #2 | 4/6, 27 YDS | |
| Rushing | Telly Johnson Jr. RB #45 | 57 CAR, 253 YDS, 2 TD |
| Elijah Porter RB #24 | 16 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaidaun Cranford RB #20 | 8 CAR, 59 YDS | |
| Receiving | DeAree Rogers WR #1 | 31 REC, 252 YDS, 2 TD |
| La'Don Bryant WR #0 | 14 REC, 185 YDS | |
| Cam Thompson WR #7 | 9 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD | |
| George Dimopoulos WR #9 | 6 REC, 77 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Kyon Conyers S #16 | 27 |
| Jack Murray LB #44 | 26 | |
| Jashawn Nelson LB #6 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Avery Jones DB #2 | 2 |
| Jashawn Nelson LB #6 | 1.5 | |
| Kole Sneed DE #90 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Yassine Falke CB #5 | 3 |
| Kyon Conyers S #16 | 1 | |
| Andruw Ellis S #30 | 1 |
N Dakota St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Nathan Hayes QB #2 | 75/116, 995 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Trey Drake QB #10 | 3/4, 35 YDS | |
| Rushing | DJ Scott RB #7 | 70 CAR, 298 YDS, 4 TD |
| Myles Mitchell RB #5 | 46 CAR, 214 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Nyeoti Punni RB #4 | 26 CAR, 129 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jackson Williams WR #18 | 22 REC, 358 YDS, 1 TD |
| Mekhi Collins WR #15 | 10 REC, 164 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Reis Kessel TE #81 | 13 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jordan McCants WR #11 | 2 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Donovan Woolen LB #1 | 35 |
| Darius Givance S #29 | 27 | |
| Gavin Sell LB #3 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Kelton McCaslin DE #9 | 3 |
| Peder Haugo LB #41 | 1 | |
| Matthew Stenbroten DE #11 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Marion Moore CB #16 | 2 |
| Keith Williams LB #52 | 1 | |
| Taylen Eady S #14 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.