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Wk 7 · 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack at North Dakota State Bison — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · Fargodome, Fargo, ND · CBSSN

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
Nevada Wolf Pack
Mountain West · 2-3
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NDSU by 15.1
North Dakota State Bison
Mountain West · 5-1

What is at stake

A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Nevada: -9.6#105
Efficiency margin
N Dakota St: +3.1#56
Nevada: 25.1
Offense (pts/100)
N Dakota St: 29.7
Nevada: 25.8
Defense (pts/100)
N Dakota St: 17.7
Nevada: 65.2
Pace (plays/g)
N Dakota St: 64.3
Nevada: 5.83
Yards / play
N Dakota St: 5.67
Nevada: 4.89
Yards / play allowed
N Dakota St: 4.14
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Nevada: 27.8
Points / game
N Dakota St: 29.2
Nevada: 22.0
Points allowed
N Dakota St: 10.3
Nevada: 380
Yards / game
N Dakota St: 365
Nevada: 339
Yards allowed
N Dakota St: 239
Nevada: 156
Pass yds allowed
N Dakota St: 124
Nevada: 183
Rush yds allowed
N Dakota St: 115
Nevada: 1.80
Turnovers / game
N Dakota St: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Nevada form

W 30-13at UTEPL 33-36vs AFL 20-27at MTSUL 7-20vs MTSTW 49-14vs WKU
2026 season

N Dakota St form

L 7-13at UNLVW 28-0vs WYOW 31-10at SACW 38-32at AFW 38-0vs FOR
2026 season

Nevada this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

N Dakota St this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 7

OpponentNevadaN Dakota St
Air Force
Mountain West
vs L 33-36 previewat W 38-32 preview
UTEP
Mountain West
at W 30-13 previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
San José St
Mountain West
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
New Mexico
Mountain West
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
N Illinois
Mountain West
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Hawai'i
Mountain West
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
UNLV
Mountain West
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat L 7-13 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Nevada leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCarter Jones QB #642/70, 572 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
AJ Bianco QB #1012/21, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingDominic Kelley RB #054 CAR, 341 YDS, 3 TD
Herschel Turner RB #139 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD
Carter Jones QB #625 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingGary Givens III WR #77 REC, 164 YDS
Damien Morgan WR #1119 REC, 126 YDS
Donnie Cheers WR #56 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD
Herschel Turner RB #16 REC, 76 YDS
Defense
TacklesEJ Smith LB #255
Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #3239
Jeremy Naborne-Owens LB #129
SacksMyles Williams EDGE #921.5
EJ Smith LB #21.5
Logologo Va'a DL #101
InterceptionsBryson Snelling DB #121
full roster and per-player history

N Dakota St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNathan Hayes QB #275/116, 995 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
Trey Drake QB #103/4, 35 YDS
RushingDJ Scott RB #770 CAR, 298 YDS, 4 TD
Myles Mitchell RB #546 CAR, 214 YDS, 3 TD
Nyeoti Punni RB #426 CAR, 129 YDS
ReceivingJackson Williams WR #1822 REC, 358 YDS, 1 TD
Mekhi Collins WR #1510 REC, 164 YDS, 2 TD
Reis Kessel TE #8113 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD
Jordan McCants WR #112 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDonovan Woolen LB #135
Darius Givance S #2927
Gavin Sell LB #326
SacksKelton McCaslin DE #93
Peder Haugo LB #411
Matthew Stenbroten DE #111
InterceptionsMarion Moore CB #162
Keith Williams LB #521
Taylen Eady S #141
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.