Wk 8 · 2026
San José State Spartans at Nevada Wolf Pack — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
· MW+
Mountain West · 3-3
at
5:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NEV by 5.6
Mountain West · 2-3
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
San José St form
L 13-16vs WYOW 20-16at HAWL 10-26vs FRESW 30-20vs CPW 27-21at EMU
2026 season
Nevada form
W 30-13at UTEPL 33-36vs AFL 20-27at MTSUL 7-20vs MTSTW 49-14vs WKU
2026 season
San José St this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Nevada this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | San José St | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Mountain West | at W 20-16 preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at W 30-13 preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Air Force Mountain West | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs L 33-36 preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Nevada leads 13–5 · Nevada won the last one
18 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
12.9 points toward Nevada
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-15 | San José St 10 — 55 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2024 | 2024-10-05 | Nevada 31 — 35 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-29 | Nevada 28 — 35 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2021 | 2021-11-06 | San José St 24 — 27 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2020 | 2020-12-11 | Nevada 20 — 30 San José St | neutral | San José St |
| 2019 | 2019-10-12 | San José St 38 — 41 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2018 | 2018-11-17 | Nevada 21 — 12 San José St | at SJSU | Nevada |
| 2017 | 2017-11-11 | San José St 14 — 59 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2016 | 2016-10-15 | Nevada 10 — 14 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2015 | 2015-11-14 | San José St 34 — 37 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2014 | 2014-09-27 | Nevada 21 — 10 San José St | at SJSU | Nevada |
| 2013 | 2013-11-16 | San José St 16 — 38 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2011 | 2011-09-17 | Nevada 17 — 14 San José St | at SJSU | Nevada |
| 2010 | 2010-10-09 | San José St 13 — 35 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2009 | 2009-11-08 | Nevada 62 — 7 San José St | at SJSU | Nevada |
| 2008 | 2008-11-15 | San José St 17 — 41 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2007 | 2007-11-24 | Nevada 24 — 27 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2006 | 2006-10-21 | San José St 7 — 23 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
San José St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Luke Weaver QB #3 | 132/209, 1529 YDS, 11 TD, 6 INT |
| Tama Amisone WR #7 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Jabari Bates RB #6 | 120 CAR, 556 YDS, 1 TD |
| Viliami Teu RB #20 | 13 CAR, 86 YDS | |
| Luke Weaver QB #3 | 52 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Carson Clark WR #1 | 37 REC, 405 YDS, 4 TD |
| Cooper Hoch WR #13 | 23 REC, 338 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jerry McClure WR #2 | 24 REC, 226 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Anthony Ivey WR #10 | 10 REC, 185 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dylan Lee LB #4 | 54 |
| Caleb Womack CB #32 | 43 | |
| Naseri Danielson LB #3 | 41 | |
| Sacks | Ethan Powell LB #6 | 2.5 |
| Jayland McGlothen DL #90 | 2.5 | |
| Jeremiah Tuiileila DL #45 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Caleb Womack CB #32 | 2 |
| Dylan Lee LB #4 | 2 | |
| Naseri Danielson LB #3 | 1 |
Nevada leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Carter Jones QB #6 | 42/70, 572 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| AJ Bianco QB #10 | 12/21, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Dominic Kelley RB #0 | 54 CAR, 341 YDS, 3 TD |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 39 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Carter Jones QB #6 | 25 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Gary Givens III WR #7 | 7 REC, 164 YDS |
| Damien Morgan WR #11 | 19 REC, 126 YDS | |
| Donnie Cheers WR #5 | 6 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 6 REC, 76 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | EJ Smith LB #2 | 55 |
| Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 39 | |
| Jeremy Naborne-Owens LB #1 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Myles Williams EDGE #92 | 1.5 |
| EJ Smith LB #2 | 1.5 | |
| Logologo Va'a DL #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Bryson Snelling DB #12 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.