Wk 6 · 2026
Nevada Wolf Pack at UTEP Miners — Sat, Oct 10
Sat, Oct 10 ·
Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX
· FS1 FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:00pET
NEV -10 · total 48.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NEV by 11.5
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Nevada form
W 30-13at UTEPL 33-36vs AFL 20-27at MTSUL 7-20vs MTSTW 49-14vs WKU
2026 season
UTEP form
L 13-30vs NEVL 7-61at UNML 7-33vs ORSTL 17-52at MICHW 51-10vs TXSO
2026 season
Nevada this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
UTEP this season
Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Nevada | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force Mountain West | vs L 33-36 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| N Dakota St Mountain West | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at L 7-61 preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Hawai'i Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Nevada leads 2–0 · Nevada has won the last 2
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
16.5 points toward Nevada
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-10 | Nevada 30 — 13 UTEP | at UTEP | Nevada |
| 2019 | 2019-09-21 | Nevada 37 — 21 UTEP | at UTEP | Nevada |
Nevada leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Carter Jones QB #6 | 42/70, 572 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| AJ Bianco QB #10 | 12/21, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Dominic Kelley RB #0 | 54 CAR, 341 YDS, 3 TD |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 39 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Carter Jones QB #6 | 25 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Gary Givens III WR #7 | 7 REC, 164 YDS |
| Damien Morgan WR #11 | 19 REC, 126 YDS | |
| Donnie Cheers WR #5 | 6 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 6 REC, 76 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | EJ Smith LB #2 | 55 |
| Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 39 | |
| Jeremy Naborne-Owens LB #1 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Myles Williams EDGE #92 | 1.5 |
| EJ Smith LB #2 | 1.5 | |
| Logologo Va'a DL #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Bryson Snelling DB #12 | 1 |
UTEP leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | EJ Colson Jr. QB #1 | 49/77, 541 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT |
| Raymond Moore III QB #12 | 9/18, 78 YDS, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Raymond Moore III QB #12 | 33 CAR, 294 YDS, 2 TD |
| Tavorus Jones RB #0 | 40 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD | |
| EJ Colson Jr. QB #1 | 67 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Carver Cheeks WR #5 | 13 REC, 168 YDS, 3 TD |
| Kam Thomas RB #8 | 6 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaden Smith WR #3 | 12 REC, 87 YDS | |
| Cash Cheeks TE #4 | 4 REC, 59 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Xavier Smith S #2 | 30 |
| Justin Content CB #0 | 30 | |
| Jayden Wilson LB #10 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Sterling Miles DE #19 | 1.5 |
| Elijah Fields DL #1 | 1.5 | |
| Derek Burns DL #11 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kode Lowe S #7 | 1 |
| Esteban Guillory S #16 | 1 | |
| Kaleb Miles CB #23 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.