Wk 12 · 2026
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 1-5
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NEV by 8.6
Mountain West · 2-3
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Hawai'i form
L 12-30at ASUL 16-20vs SJSUL 10-27at WYOW 29-19vs NMSUL 6-21vs UNLV
2026 season
Nevada form
W 30-13at UTEPL 33-36vs AFL 20-27at MTSUL 7-20vs MTSTW 49-14vs WKU
2026 season
Hawai'i this season
Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Nevada this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Hawai'i | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| UNLV Mountain West | vs L 6-21 preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | vs L 16-20 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at W 30-13 preview |
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 9–9 · Hawai'i has won the last 3
18 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.1 points toward Nevada
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-10-26 | Nevada 13 — 34 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2023 | 2023-11-04 | Hawai'i 27 — 14 Nevada | at NEV | Hawai'i |
| 2022 | 2022-10-15 | Nevada 16 — 31 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2021 | 2021-10-16 | Hawai'i 17 — 34 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2020 | 2020-11-28 | Nevada 21 — 24 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2019 | 2019-09-28 | Hawai'i 54 — 3 Nevada | at NEV | Hawai'i |
| 2018 | 2018-10-20 | Nevada 40 — 22 Hawai'i | at HAW | Nevada |
| 2017 | 2017-10-07 | Hawai'i 21 — 35 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2016 | 2016-10-01 | Nevada 17 — 38 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2015 | 2015-10-24 | Hawai'i 20 — 30 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2014 | 2014-10-26 | Nevada 26 — 18 Hawai'i | at HAW | Nevada |
| 2013 | 2013-09-21 | Hawai'i 9 — 31 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2012 | 2012-09-22 | Nevada 69 — 24 Hawai'i | at HAW | Nevada |
| 2011 | 2011-11-12 | Hawai'i 28 — 42 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2010 | 2010-10-16 | Nevada 21 — 27 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2009 | 2009-10-31 | Hawai'i 21 — 31 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2008 | 2008-10-26 | Nevada 31 — 38 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2007 | 2007-11-16 | Hawai'i 28 — 26 Nevada | at NEV | Hawai'i |
Hawai'i leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Micah Alejado QB #12 | 132/216, 1361 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT |
| Tama Uiliata WR #8 | 1/1, 7 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | DeVon Rice RB #1 | 59 CAR, 276 YDS, 3 TD |
| Sitani Mikaele RB #26 | 21 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Cam Barfield RB #0 | 11 CAR, 43 YDS | |
| Receiving | Kainoa Carvalho WR #6 | 22 REC, 249 YDS |
| Tama Uiliata WR #8 | 27 REC, 245 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Devin Alves WR #11 | 7 REC, 167 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Audric Harris WR #2 | 11 REC, 166 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Kona Moore DB #2 | 38 |
| Jamih Otis LB #11 | 35 | |
| Matagi Thompson DB #25 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Julian Smith LB #7 | 2 |
| Wynden Ho'ohuli LB #12 | 1 | |
| Ka'eo Akana DL #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jamih Otis LB #11 | 1 |
| Jaylon Edmond DB #5 | 1 |
Nevada leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Carter Jones QB #6 | 42/70, 572 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| AJ Bianco QB #10 | 12/21, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Dominic Kelley RB #0 | 54 CAR, 341 YDS, 3 TD |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 39 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Carter Jones QB #6 | 25 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Gary Givens III WR #7 | 7 REC, 164 YDS |
| Damien Morgan WR #11 | 19 REC, 126 YDS | |
| Donnie Cheers WR #5 | 6 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 6 REC, 76 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | EJ Smith LB #2 | 55 |
| Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 39 | |
| Jeremy Naborne-Owens LB #1 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Myles Williams EDGE #92 | 1.5 |
| EJ Smith LB #2 | 1.5 | |
| Logologo Va'a DL #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Bryson Snelling DB #12 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.