Wk 7 · 2026
New Mexico Lobos at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors — Sat, Oct 17
Sat, Oct 17 ·
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
· FS1
Weather at kickoff
80°F light drizzle
10% chance of precipitation · wind 13 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Mountain West · 4-1
at
10:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNM by 20.5
Mountain West · 1-5
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
New Mexico form
W 61-7vs UTEPW 42-18at NMSUL 6-14at OUW 70-7vs MERCW 38-7vs CMU
2026 season
Hawai'i form
L 12-30at ASUL 16-20vs SJSUL 10-27at WYOW 29-19vs NMSUL 6-21vs UNLV
2026 season
New Mexico this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Hawai'i this season
Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | New Mexico | Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico St CUSA | at W 42-18 preview | vs W 29-19 preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | vs W 61-7 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs L 16-20 preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs L 6-21 preview |
| Wyoming Mountain West | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at L 10-27 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, New Mexico leads 4–3 · Hawai'i won the last one
7 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.9 points toward New Mexico
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-30 | New Mexico 30 — 38 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2023 | 2023-10-21 | Hawai'i 21 — 42 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2020 | 2020-11-07 | New Mexico 33 — 39 Hawai'i | at HAW | Hawai'i |
| 2019 | 2019-10-26 | Hawai'i 45 — 31 New Mexico | at UNM | Hawai'i |
| 2016 | 2016-10-29 | New Mexico 28 — 21 Hawai'i | at HAW | New Mexico |
| 2015 | 2015-10-17 | Hawai'i 27 — 28 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2012 | 2012-10-14 | New Mexico 35 — 23 Hawai'i | at HAW | New Mexico |
New Mexico leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Toa Fa'avae QB #13 | 36/63, 639 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT |
| Luke Moga QB #10 | 23/38, 248 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Scottre Humphrey RB #22 | 70 CAR, 332 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kiefer Sibley RB #21 | 38 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Mathews RB #23 | 20 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Bailen George WR #81 | 11 REC, 218 YDS, 3 TD |
| Cade Keith TE #88 | 14 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| DJ Darling WR #14 | 5 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Troy Omeire WR #5 | 6 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Mercury Swaim LB #2 | 25 |
| Jaxton Eck LB #6 | 25 | |
| Tavian Combs S #7 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Brett Karhu DE #45 | 4 |
| Darren Agu DE #10 | 3 | |
| Jalen McIver DT #94 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tavian Combs S #7 | 3 |
| Austin Brawley S #0 | 2 | |
| Jahmir Torres CB #1 | 2 |
Hawai'i leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Micah Alejado QB #12 | 132/216, 1361 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT |
| Tama Uiliata WR #8 | 1/1, 7 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | DeVon Rice RB #1 | 59 CAR, 276 YDS, 3 TD |
| Sitani Mikaele RB #26 | 21 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Cam Barfield RB #0 | 11 CAR, 43 YDS | |
| Receiving | Kainoa Carvalho WR #6 | 22 REC, 249 YDS |
| Tama Uiliata WR #8 | 27 REC, 245 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Devin Alves WR #11 | 7 REC, 167 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Audric Harris WR #2 | 11 REC, 166 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Kona Moore DB #2 | 38 |
| Jamih Otis LB #11 | 35 | |
| Matagi Thompson DB #25 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Julian Smith LB #7 | 2 |
| Wynden Ho'ohuli LB #12 | 1 | |
| Ka'eo Akana DL #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jamih Otis LB #11 | 1 |
| Jaylon Edmond DB #5 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.