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Wk 11 · 2026

UNLV Rebels at New Mexico Lobos — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM · CW

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 34 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 4-2
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNM by 11.7
Mountain West · 4-1

What is at stake

A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UNLV: -2.2#77
Efficiency margin
New Mexico: +7.1#39
UNLV: 29.0
Offense (pts/100)
New Mexico: 34.5
UNLV: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
New Mexico: 18.4
UNLV: 66.7
Pace (plays/g)
New Mexico: 65.0
UNLV: 5.54
Yards / play
New Mexico: 5.94
UNLV: 5.48
Yards / play allowed
New Mexico: 4.52
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UNLV: 23.0
Points / game
New Mexico: 43.4
UNLV: 20.8
Points allowed
New Mexico: 10.6
UNLV: 370
Yards / game
New Mexico: 386
UNLV: 370
Yards allowed
New Mexico: 256
UNLV: 229
Pass yds allowed
New Mexico: 155
UNLV: 141
Rush yds allowed
New Mexico: 101
UNLV: 1.17
Turnovers / game
New Mexico: 0.20
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UNLV form

W 13-7vs NDSUW 39-31vs CALW 38-10at AKRL 6-44at UNTW 21-6at HAW
2026 season

New Mexico form

W 61-7vs UTEPW 42-18at NMSUL 6-14at OUW 70-7vs MERCW 38-7vs CMU
2026 season

UNLV this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)

New Mexico this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentUNLVNew Mexico
Hawai'i
Mountain West
at W 21-6 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
N Dakota St
Mountain West
vs W 13-7 previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Air Force
Mountain West
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Wyoming
Mountain West
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
San José St
Mountain West
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Nevada
Mountain West
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, UNLV leads 9–6 · New Mexico won the last one
15 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.4 points toward UNLV
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-01New Mexico 40 — 35 UNLVat UNLVNew Mexico
20232023-11-04UNLV 56 — 14 New Mexicoat UNMUNLV
20222022-09-30New Mexico 20 — 31 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20212021-11-06UNLV 31 — 17 New Mexicoat UNMUNLV
20182018-10-06New Mexico 50 — 14 UNLVat UNLVNew Mexico
20172017-11-17UNLV 38 — 35 New Mexicoat UNMUNLV
20142014-11-01New Mexico 31 — 28 UNLVat UNLVNew Mexico
20132013-09-28UNLV 56 — 42 New Mexicoat UNMUNLV
20122012-11-03New Mexico 7 — 35 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20112011-11-12UNLV 14 — 21 New Mexicoat UNMNew Mexico
20102010-09-25New Mexico 10 — 45 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20092009-10-24UNLV 34 — 17 New Mexicoat UNMUNLV
20082008-11-08New Mexico 20 — 27 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20072007-11-24UNLV 6 — 27 New Mexicoat UNMNew Mexico
20062006-10-14New Mexico 39 — 36 UNLVat UNLVNew Mexico

UNLV leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Arnold QB #1179/133, 1063 YDS, 8 TD
Alex Orji QB #11/5, 9 YDS, 1 INT
RushingJai'Den Thomas RB #973 CAR, 383 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Arnold QB #1173 CAR, 270 YDS, 5 TD
Jaylon Glover RB #016 CAR, 89 YDS
ReceivingTaz Reddicks WR #214 REC, 272 YDS, 2 TD
Kayden McGee WR #68 REC, 188 YDS, 2 TD
Taeshaun Lyons WR #811 REC, 120 YDS
Jai'Den Thomas RB #912 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCam Santee LB #2337
Jake Pope S #736
Tre Fulton DB #1036
SacksTre Fulton DB #103.5
Kal-El Togafau DL #443
Elias Rudolph LB #912
InterceptionsQuandarius Keyes DB #52
Mumu Bin-Wahad DB #11
Tre Fulton DB #101

New Mexico leaders 2026 regular season

PassingToa Fa'avae QB #1336/63, 639 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
Luke Moga QB #1023/38, 248 YDS, 3 TD
RushingScottre Humphrey RB #2270 CAR, 332 YDS, 6 TD
Kiefer Sibley RB #2138 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
Cameron Mathews RB #2320 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingBailen George WR #8111 REC, 218 YDS, 3 TD
Cade Keith TE #8814 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD
DJ Darling WR #145 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD
Troy Omeire WR #56 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMercury Swaim LB #225
Jaxton Eck LB #625
Tavian Combs S #721
SacksBrett Karhu DE #454
Darren Agu DE #103
Jalen McIver DT #942.5
InterceptionsTavian Combs S #73
Austin Brawley S #02
Jahmir Torres CB #12
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.