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Wk 12 · 2026

UNLV Rebels at San José State Spartans — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA · CBSSN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 41 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 4-2
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNLV by 8.2
Mountain West · 3-3

What is at stake

A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UNLV: -2.2#77
Efficiency margin
San José St: -12.8#113
UNLV: 29.0
Offense (pts/100)
San José St: 24.3
UNLV: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
San José St: 28.1
UNLV: 66.7
Pace (plays/g)
San José St: 68.2
UNLV: 5.54
Yards / play
San José St: 5.54
UNLV: 5.48
Yards / play allowed
San José St: 5.35
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UNLV: 23.0
Points / game
San José St: 21.0
UNLV: 20.8
Points allowed
San José St: 23.5
UNLV: 370
Yards / game
San José St: 378
UNLV: 370
Yards allowed
San José St: 376
UNLV: 229
Pass yds allowed
San José St: 234
UNLV: 141
Rush yds allowed
San José St: 141
UNLV: 1.17
Turnovers / game
San José St: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UNLV form

W 13-7vs NDSUW 39-31vs CALW 38-10at AKRL 6-44at UNTW 21-6at HAW
2026 season

San José St form

L 13-16vs WYOW 20-16at HAWL 10-26vs FRESW 30-20vs CPW 27-21at EMU
2026 season

UNLV this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)

San José St this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 7

OpponentUNLVSan José St
Hawai'i
Mountain West
at W 21-6 previewat W 20-16 preview
N Dakota St
Mountain West
vs W 13-7 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Air Force
Mountain West
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
N Illinois
Mountain West
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Wyoming
Mountain West
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs L 13-16 preview
New Mexico
Mountain West
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Nevada
Mountain West
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, San José St leads 9–3 · UNLV won the last one
12 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.6 points toward San José St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-22UNLV 27 — 16 San José Stat SJSUUNLV
20232023-11-25San José St 37 — 31 UNLVat UNLVSan José St
20222022-10-07UNLV 7 — 40 San José Stat SJSUSan José St
20212021-10-21San José St 27 — 20 UNLVat UNLVSan José St
20202020-11-14UNLV 17 — 34 San José Stat SJSUSan José St
20192019-11-23San José St 35 — 38 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20182018-10-27UNLV 37 — 50 San José Stat SJSUSan José St
20172017-09-30San José St 13 — 41 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20162016-10-29UNLV 24 — 30 San José Stat SJSUSan José St
20152015-10-10San José St 33 — 27 UNLVat UNLVSan José St
20142014-10-04UNLV 10 — 33 San José Stat SJSUSan José St
20132013-11-02San José St 34 — 24 UNLVat UNLVSan José St

UNLV leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Arnold QB #1179/133, 1063 YDS, 8 TD
Alex Orji QB #11/5, 9 YDS, 1 INT
RushingJai'Den Thomas RB #973 CAR, 383 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Arnold QB #1173 CAR, 270 YDS, 5 TD
Jaylon Glover RB #016 CAR, 89 YDS
ReceivingTaz Reddicks WR #214 REC, 272 YDS, 2 TD
Kayden McGee WR #68 REC, 188 YDS, 2 TD
Taeshaun Lyons WR #811 REC, 120 YDS
Jai'Den Thomas RB #912 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCam Santee LB #2337
Jake Pope S #736
Tre Fulton DB #1036
SacksTre Fulton DB #103.5
Kal-El Togafau DL #443
Elias Rudolph LB #912
InterceptionsQuandarius Keyes DB #52
Mumu Bin-Wahad DB #11
Tre Fulton DB #101

San José St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingLuke Weaver QB #3132/209, 1529 YDS, 11 TD, 6 INT
Tama Amisone WR #70/1, 0 YDS
RushingJabari Bates RB #6120 CAR, 556 YDS, 1 TD
Viliami Teu RB #2013 CAR, 86 YDS
Luke Weaver QB #352 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCarson Clark WR #137 REC, 405 YDS, 4 TD
Cooper Hoch WR #1323 REC, 338 YDS, 3 TD
Jerry McClure WR #224 REC, 226 YDS, 1 TD
Anthony Ivey WR #1010 REC, 185 YDS
Defense
TacklesDylan Lee LB #454
Caleb Womack CB #3243
Naseri Danielson LB #341
SacksEthan Powell LB #62.5
Jayland McGlothen DL #902.5
Jeremiah Tuiileila DL #452.5
InterceptionsCaleb Womack CB #322
Dylan Lee LB #42
Naseri Danielson LB #31
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.