Wk 11 · 2026
San José State Spartans at Air Force Falcons — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO
· CBSSN
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 34 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 3-3
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential AF by 8.6
Mountain West · 4-1
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
San José St form
L 13-16vs WYOW 20-16at HAWL 10-26vs FRESW 30-20vs CPW 27-21at EMU
2026 season
Air Force form
W 28-7at NIUW 14-9vs NAVYW 36-33at NEVL 32-38vs NDSUW 34-0vs DUQ
2026 season
San José St this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Air Force this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | San José St | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Mountain West | vs L 13-16 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at W 36-33 preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at W 28-7 preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs L 32-38 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Air Force leads 5–2 · Air Force won the last one
7 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.9 points toward Air Force
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-08 | Air Force 26 — 16 San José St | at SJSU | Air Force |
| 2024 | 2024-09-07 | San José St 17 — 7 Air Force | at AF | San José St |
| 2023 | 2023-09-22 | Air Force 45 — 20 San José St | at SJSU | Air Force |
| 2020 | 2020-10-24 | Air Force 6 — 17 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2019 | 2019-09-27 | San José St 24 — 41 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2016 | 2016-11-19 | Air Force 41 — 38 San José St | at SJSU | Air Force |
| 2015 | 2015-09-12 | San José St 16 — 37 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
San José St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Luke Weaver QB #3 | 132/209, 1529 YDS, 11 TD, 6 INT |
| Tama Amisone WR #7 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Jabari Bates RB #6 | 120 CAR, 556 YDS, 1 TD |
| Viliami Teu RB #20 | 13 CAR, 86 YDS | |
| Luke Weaver QB #3 | 52 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Carson Clark WR #1 | 37 REC, 405 YDS, 4 TD |
| Cooper Hoch WR #13 | 23 REC, 338 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jerry McClure WR #2 | 24 REC, 226 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Anthony Ivey WR #10 | 10 REC, 185 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dylan Lee LB #4 | 54 |
| Caleb Womack CB #32 | 43 | |
| Naseri Danielson LB #3 | 41 | |
| Sacks | Ethan Powell LB #6 | 2.5 |
| Jayland McGlothen DL #90 | 2.5 | |
| Jeremiah Tuiileila DL #45 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Caleb Womack CB #32 | 2 |
| Dylan Lee LB #4 | 2 | |
| Naseri Danielson LB #3 | 1 |
Air Force leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 19/38, 296 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT |
| Evan Medders QB #5 | 3/7, 47 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 92 CAR, 391 YDS, 7 TD |
| Rocco Conti RB #44 | 35 CAR, 187 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kemper Hodges QB #4 | 23 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Simon Kibbee TE #80 | 6 REC, 103 YDS |
| Adam Hrynciw WR #10 | 4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Matt Long WR #3 | 4 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jonah Dawson WR #8 | 3 REC, 39 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 44 |
| Dallas Daley LB #8 | 28 | |
| Max Mustell DB #36 | 15 | |
| Sacks | Max Mustell DB #36 | 2 |
| Jaylin Reese LB #45 | 1.5 | |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Max Mustell DB #36 | 1 |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Korey Johnson DB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.