Wk 5 · 2026
Old Dominion Monarchs at Georgia State Panthers — Sat, Oct 3
Sat, Oct 3 ·
Center Parc Stadium, Atlanta, GA
· ESPN+ FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
GAST -1.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings opened +1.5 · 3 toward GAST
Ratings differential GAST by 13.0
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Old Dominion form
W 10-3at APPL 10-42at GASTL 20-46vs JMUL 17-20vs ECUL 21-44at VT
2026 season
Georgia St form
W 42-10vs ODUW 35-14vs NIUL 30-44at UCFW 31-17at KENNW 59-10vs NCAT
2026 season
Old Dominion this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Georgia St this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Old Dominion | Georgia St |
|---|---|---|
| James Madison Sun Belt | vs L 20-46 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| App State Sun Belt | at W 10-3 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| GA Southern Sun Belt | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Marshall Sun Belt | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Coastal Sun Belt | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Old Dominion leads 3–2 · Georgia St won the last one
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.2 points toward Georgia St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-03 | Old Dominion 10 — 42 Georgia St | at GAST | Georgia St |
| 2025 | 2025-11-29 | Georgia St 10 — 27 Old Dominion | at ODU | Old Dominion |
| 2024 | 2024-10-12 | Old Dominion 21 — 14 Georgia St | at GAST | Old Dominion |
| 2023 | 2023-11-25 | Georgia St 24 — 25 Old Dominion | at ODU | Old Dominion |
| 2022 | 2022-10-29 | Old Dominion 17 — 31 Georgia St | at GAST | Georgia St |
Old Dominion leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Quinn Henicle QB #10 | 38/68, 473 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT |
| Ryan Huff QB #4 | 23/48, 279 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Devin Roche RB #3 | 57 CAR, 247 YDS |
| Quinn Henicle QB #10 | 55 CAR, 235 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Trey Hall RB #6 | 21 CAR, 57 YDS | |
| Receiving | TJ Johnson WR #11 | 12 REC, 163 YDS, 2 TD |
| Josh Rodriguez WR #8 | 12 REC, 150 YDS | |
| JJ Harrell WR #1 | 9 REC, 126 YDS | |
| Leon Haughton Jr. TE #86 | 10 REC, 118 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Lucas Struck S #19 | 36 |
| Mario Thompson LB #0 | 35 | |
| Mario Easterly S #3 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Javen Gibson DL #4 | 3 |
| Koa Naotala LB #10 | 2 | |
| Jackson Forrest LB #18 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Mario Easterly S #3 | 1 |
| Brandon Crutchfield CB #5 | 1 |
Georgia St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Cameran Brown QB #8 | 89/131, 1157 YDS, 12 TD, 4 INT |
| DJ Riles WR #10 | 1/1, 50 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Lanear McCrary Jr. RB #5 | 69 CAR, 361 YDS, 3 TD |
| Qwantavius Wiggins RB #24 | 41 CAR, 235 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameran Brown QB #8 | 26 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Rodshaun Dorsey WR #9 | 18 REC, 276 YDS, 6 TD |
| DJ Riles WR #10 | 17 REC, 200 YDS | |
| Derrick Avery Jr. WR #13 | 10 REC, 179 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyle Washington WR #4 | 7 REC, 107 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jaydon Hood LB #34 | 29 |
| Coby Owens LB #20 | 26 | |
| Deuce Lee S #8 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Xavier Esqillion LB #4 | 7 |
| Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson DE #1 | 5 | |
| Kelan Butler LB #45 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Deuce Lee S #8 | 1 |
| Donovan Faria S #13 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.