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Wk 12 · 2026

Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 4-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential GAST by 11.7

What is at stake

A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Georgia St: -1.3#74
Efficiency margin
Marshall: -15.4#123
Georgia St: 32.1
Offense (pts/100)
Marshall: 25.6
Georgia St: 24.4
Defense (pts/100)
Marshall: 32.0
Georgia St: 70.0
Pace (plays/g)
Marshall: 70.0
Georgia St: 6.69
Yards / play
Marshall: 5.81
Georgia St: 5.00
Yards / play allowed
Marshall: 6.78
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Georgia St: 39.4
Points / game
Marshall: 22.0
Georgia St: 19.0
Points allowed
Marshall: 33.7
Georgia St: 469
Yards / game
Marshall: 406
Georgia St: 301
Yards allowed
Marshall: 447
Georgia St: 174
Pass yds allowed
Marshall: 254
Georgia St: 127
Rush yds allowed
Marshall: 194
Georgia St: 1.60
Turnovers / game
Marshall: 2.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Georgia St form

W 42-10vs ODUW 35-14vs NIUL 30-44at UCFW 31-17at KENNW 59-10vs NCAT
2026 season

Marshall form

L 21-27vs CCUL 17-45at JMUW 36-35vs GWEBW 30-24at MOSTW 28-26vs MTSU
2026 season

Georgia St this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Marshall this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentGeorgia StMarshall
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
vs W 42-10 previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
James Madison
Sun Belt
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat L 17-45 preview
Coastal
Sun Belt
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs L 21-27 preview
App State
Sun Belt
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
GA Southern
Sun Belt
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Marshall leads 3–1 · Marshall has won the last 2
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.8 points toward Marshall
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-15Marshall 30 — 18 Georgia Stat GASTMarshall
20242024-10-17Georgia St 20 — 35 Marshallat MRSHMarshall
20232023-10-14Marshall 24 — 41 Georgia Stat GASTGeorgia St
20222022-11-26Georgia St 23 — 28 Marshallat MRSHMarshall

Georgia St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCameran Brown QB #889/131, 1157 YDS, 12 TD, 4 INT
DJ Riles WR #101/1, 50 YDS, 1 TD
RushingLanear McCrary Jr. RB #569 CAR, 361 YDS, 3 TD
Qwantavius Wiggins RB #2441 CAR, 235 YDS, 2 TD
Cameran Brown QB #826 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingRodshaun Dorsey WR #918 REC, 276 YDS, 6 TD
DJ Riles WR #1017 REC, 200 YDS
Derrick Avery Jr. WR #1310 REC, 179 YDS, 1 TD
Kyle Washington WR #47 REC, 107 YDS
Defense
TacklesJaydon Hood LB #3429
Coby Owens LB #2026
Deuce Lee S #821
SacksXavier Esqillion LB #47
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson DE #15
Kelan Butler LB #451
InterceptionsDeuce Lee S #81
Donovan Faria S #131

Marshall leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCarlos Del Rio-Wilson QB #788/134, 1004 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
Zion Turner QB #115/24, 155 YDS, 2 INT
RushingCarlos Del Rio-Wilson QB #760 CAR, 209 YDS, 2 TD
Jo'Shon Barbie RB #642 CAR, 207 YDS, 2 TD
Khalil Wilkins QB #417 CAR, 121 YDS
ReceivingXayvion Turner-Bradshaw WR #522 REC, 324 YDS, 4 TD
Toby Payne TE #8119 REC, 147 YDS
Owen Sweeney WR #2010 REC, 128 YDS
De'Andre Tamarez WR #04 REC, 106 YDS
Defense
TacklesCaleb Clark-Glover DB #039
Cannon Lewis LB #2734
Daytione Smith S #1728
SacksJavae Gilmore LB #51
Kelvon McBride EDGE #71
Terrente Hinton S #31
InterceptionsEddie Pleasant III CB #81
Zah Jackson S #191
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.