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Wk 5 · 2026

Marshall Thundering Herd at James Madison Dukes — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Bridgeforth Stadium, Harrisonburg, VA · ESPNU FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 3-3
17
at
3:45pET
JMU -15.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings opened -14 · 1.5 toward JMU
Ratings differential JMU by 24.4
Sun Belt · 6-0
45

What is at stake

A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Marshall: -15.4#123
Efficiency margin
James Madison: +6.6#41
Marshall: 25.6
Offense (pts/100)
James Madison: 35.5
Marshall: 32.0
Defense (pts/100)
James Madison: 19.9
Marshall: 70.0
Pace (plays/g)
James Madison: 68.0
Marshall: 5.81
Yards / play
James Madison: 6.65
Marshall: 6.78
Yards / play allowed
James Madison: 4.92
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Marshall: 22.0
Points / game
James Madison: 41.8
Marshall: 33.7
Points allowed
James Madison: 15.0
Marshall: 406
Yards / game
James Madison: 452
Marshall: 447
Yards allowed
James Madison: 347
Marshall: 254
Pass yds allowed
James Madison: 245
Marshall: 194
Rush yds allowed
James Madison: 102
Marshall: 2.33
Turnovers / game
James Madison: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Marshall form

L 21-27vs CCUL 17-45at JMUW 36-35vs GWEBW 30-24at MOSTW 28-26vs MTSU
2026 season

James Madison form

W 27-24at GASOW 45-17vs MRSHW 46-20at ODUW 26-13at SDSUW 87-3vs WAG
2026 season

Marshall this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

James Madison this season

Straight up6-0 · 100% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentMarshallJames Madison
Coastal
Sun Belt
vs L 21-27 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat W 46-20 preview
GA Southern
Sun Belt
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat W 27-24 preview
App State
Sun Belt
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Georgia St
Sun Belt
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, James Madison leads 3–2 · James Madison has won the last 2
5 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.0 points toward James Madison
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03Marshall 17 — 45 James Madisonat JMUJames Madison
20252025-11-08James Madison 35 — 23 Marshallat MRSHJames Madison
20242024-11-30Marshall 35 — 33 James Madisonat JMUMarshall
20232023-10-19James Madison 20 — 9 Marshallat MRSHJames Madison
20222022-10-22Marshall 26 — 12 James Madisonat JMUMarshall

Marshall leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCarlos Del Rio-Wilson QB #788/134, 1004 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
Zion Turner QB #115/24, 155 YDS, 2 INT
RushingCarlos Del Rio-Wilson QB #760 CAR, 209 YDS, 2 TD
Jo'Shon Barbie RB #642 CAR, 207 YDS, 2 TD
Khalil Wilkins QB #417 CAR, 121 YDS
ReceivingXayvion Turner-Bradshaw WR #522 REC, 324 YDS, 4 TD
Toby Payne TE #8119 REC, 147 YDS
Owen Sweeney WR #2010 REC, 128 YDS
De'Andre Tamarez WR #04 REC, 106 YDS
Defense
TacklesCaleb Clark-Glover DB #039
Cannon Lewis LB #2734
Daytione Smith S #1728
SacksJavae Gilmore LB #51
Kelvon McBride EDGE #71
Terrente Hinton S #31
InterceptionsEddie Pleasant III CB #81
Zah Jackson S #191

James Madison leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCamden Coleman QB #780/127, 979 YDS, 10 TD, 1 INT
Arrington Maiden QB #57/8, 111 YDS, 2 TD
RushingGeorge Pettaway RB #674 CAR, 497 YDS, 6 TD
Nick Herman RB #2338 CAR, 260 YDS, 3 TD
Camden Coleman QB #728 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCorey Scott WR #321 REC, 289 YDS, 4 TD
Braeden Wisloski WR #1013 REC, 165 YDS
Cole Keller TE #012 REC, 163 YDS, 3 TD
Michael Scott WR #1711 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesNakian Jackson LB #243
Jayon Harvey S #2436
JT Hooten LB #1527
SacksJT Hooten LB #152.5
Danny Royster EDGE #171.5
Kells Bush DL #881.5
InterceptionsDJ Kelly CB #63
Jamal Olford CB #271
JT Hooten LB #151
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.