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Wk 12 · 2026

Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
MIA -16.5 · total 56.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MIA by 23.8
ACC · 5-0

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Miami is ranked #4 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Virginia Tech: +3.4#54
Efficiency margin
Miami: +24.8#5
Virginia Tech: 33.8
Offense (pts/100)
Miami: 44.3
Virginia Tech: 21.4
Defense (pts/100)
Miami: 10.5
Virginia Tech: 74.3
Pace (plays/g)
Miami: 67.6
Virginia Tech: 6.17
Yards / play
Miami: 8.21
Virginia Tech: 4.88
Yards / play allowed
Miami: 4.16
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Virginia Tech: 37.7
Points / game
Miami: 49.6
Virginia Tech: 20.7
Points allowed
Miami: 9.8
Virginia Tech: 458
Yards / game
Miami: 555
Virginia Tech: 296
Yards allowed
Miami: 250
Virginia Tech: 209
Pass yds allowed
Miami: 207
Virginia Tech: 86
Rush yds allowed
Miami: 43
Virginia Tech: 1.50
Turnovers / game
Miami: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Virginia Tech form

L 20-25at CALL 33-35vs PITTW 21-14at BCW 35-26at MDW 44-21vs ODU
2026 season

Miami form

W 41-13at CLEMW 52-3vs CMUW 33-20at WAKEW 77-7vs FAMUW 45-6at STAN
2026 season

Virginia Tech this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Miami this season

Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentVirginia TechMiami
Boston College
ACC
at W 21-14 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Pitt
ACC
vs L 33-35 previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Clemson
ACC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat W 41-13 preview
Stanford
ACC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat W 45-6 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Miami leads 11–8 · Miami has won the last 5
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.6 points toward Miami
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22Miami 34 — 17 Virginia Techat VTMiami
20242024-09-27Virginia Tech 34 — 38 Miamiat MIAMiami
20222022-10-15Miami 20 — 14 Virginia Techat VTMiami
20212021-11-20Virginia Tech 26 — 38 Miamiat MIAMiami
20202020-11-14Miami 25 — 24 Virginia Techat VTMiami
20192019-10-05Virginia Tech 42 — 35 Miamiat MIAVirginia Tech
20182018-11-17Miami 38 — 14 Virginia Techat VTMiami
20172017-11-04Virginia Tech 10 — 28 Miamiat MIAMiami
20162016-10-20Miami 16 — 37 Virginia Techat VTVirginia Tech
20152015-10-17Virginia Tech 20 — 30 Miamiat MIAMiami
20142014-10-23Miami 30 — 6 Virginia Techat VTMiami
20132013-11-09Virginia Tech 42 — 24 Miamiat MIAVirginia Tech
20122012-11-01Virginia Tech 12 — 30 Miamiat MIAMiami
20112011-10-08Miami 35 — 38 Virginia Techat VTVirginia Tech
20102010-11-20Virginia Tech 31 — 17 Miamiat MIAVirginia Tech
20092009-09-26Miami 7 — 31 Virginia Techat VTVirginia Tech
20082008-11-13Virginia Tech 14 — 16 Miamiat MIAMiami
20072007-11-17Miami 14 — 44 Virginia Techat VTVirginia Tech
20062006-11-04Virginia Tech 17 — 10 Miamiat MIAVirginia Tech

Virginia Tech leaders 2026 regular season

PassingEthan Grunkemeyer QB #17131/177, 1446 YDS, 11 TD, 2 INT
Bryce Baker QB #2211/14, 127 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJeffrey Overton Jr. RB #1677 CAR, 455 YDS, 4 TD
Marcellous Hawkins RB #2758 CAR, 238 YDS, 4 TD
Messiah Mickens RB #268 CAR, 34 YDS
ReceivingLuke Reynolds TE #8537 REC, 373 YDS, 4 TD
Que'Sean Brown WR #333 REC, 371 YDS, 2 TD
Ayden Greene WR #012 REC, 213 YDS, 1 TD
Jeffrey Overton Jr. RB #1615 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKaleb Spencer LB #324
Noah Chambers LB #1622
Keon Wylie LB #3319
SacksAycen Stevens DL #425.5
Cortez Harris DL #345
Kaleb Spencer LB #33
InterceptionsThomas Williams CB #231

Miami leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDarian Mensah QB #10112/133, 1438 YDS, 15 TD
Luke Nickel QB #515/20, 204 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
RushingMark Fletcher Jr. RB #452 CAR, 307 YDS, 5 TD
Javian Mallory RB #2139 CAR, 289 YDS, 3 TD
Chris Wheatley-Humphrey RB #2511 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingMalachi Toney WR #139 REC, 604 YDS, 6 TD
Cooper Barkate WR #1819 REC, 241 YDS, 4 TD
Elija Lofton TE #912 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Daylyn Upshaw WR #713 REC, 129 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesOmar Thornton DB #021
Marquise Lightfoot DL #820
Mohamed Toure LB #118
SacksMarquise Lightfoot DL #85
Damon Wilson II DL #103.5
Omar Thornton DB #02
InterceptionsEthan O'Connor DB #241
Brody Jennings DB #151
JJ Dunnigan DB #251
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.