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Wk 1 · 2026

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Nevada Wolf Pack — Sat, Sep 5

Sat, Sep 5 · Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV · CBSSN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
10:30pET
WKU -1.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings opened +2.5 · 1 toward NEV
Ratings differential NEV by 6.9
Mountain West · 2-3
49

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Western KY: -14.1#121
Efficiency margin
Nevada: -9.6#105
Western KY: 24.5
Offense (pts/100)
Nevada: 25.1
Western KY: 29.6
Defense (pts/100)
Nevada: 25.8
Western KY: 72.0
Pace (plays/g)
Nevada: 65.2
Western KY: 5.09
Yards / play
Nevada: 5.83
Western KY: 6.48
Yards / play allowed
Nevada: 4.89
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Western KY: 22.2
Points / game
Nevada: 27.8
Western KY: 35.2
Points allowed
Nevada: 22.0
Western KY: 366
Yards / game
Nevada: 380
Western KY: 408
Yards allowed
Nevada: 339
Western KY: 204
Pass yds allowed
Nevada: 156
Western KY: 204
Rush yds allowed
Nevada: 183
Western KY: 1.50
Turnovers / game
Nevada: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Western KY form

W 34-13vs MOSTL 13-34at NMSUW 52-7vs MERCL 0-38at IUL 20-70at UGA
2026 season

Nevada form

W 30-13at UTEPL 33-36vs AFL 20-27at MTSUL 7-20vs MTSTW 49-14vs WKU
2026 season

Western KY this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Nevada this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentWestern KYNevada
MTSU
CUSA
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat L 20-27 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Nevada won the last one
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 10.0 points toward Nevada
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-05Western KY 14 — 49 Nevadaat NEVNevada
20252025-09-20Nevada 16 — 31 Western KYat WKUWestern KY

Western KY leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRodney Tisdale Jr. QB #1679/118, 852 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
Brock Glenn QB #1153/98, 536 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
RushingAjay Allen RB #372 CAR, 321 YDS, 4 TD
Brock Glenn QB #1152 CAR, 268 YDS, 5 TD
Le'Kamren Meadows RB #2225 CAR, 133 YDS
ReceivingJonathan Stafford Jr. WR #8036 REC, 332 YDS, 1 TD
Cameron Flowers WR #414 REC, 153 YDS, 1 TD
Quincy Burroughs WR #129 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD
Lofton Howard TE #1915 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJaylen Lewis DB #753
Justin Brown DB #633
Westen Ard LB #3231
SacksLatrevion Thompson DE #131
Mackavelli Malotumau DT #01
Zsacari Minnis DE #171
InterceptionsJaylen Wester LB #211
Justin Brown DB #61
Tony Newsome Jr. DB #21

Nevada leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCarter Jones QB #642/70, 572 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
AJ Bianco QB #1012/21, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingDominic Kelley RB #054 CAR, 341 YDS, 3 TD
Herschel Turner RB #139 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD
Carter Jones QB #625 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingGary Givens III WR #77 REC, 164 YDS
Damien Morgan WR #1119 REC, 126 YDS
Donnie Cheers WR #56 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD
Herschel Turner RB #16 REC, 76 YDS
Defense
TacklesEJ Smith LB #255
Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #3239
Jeremy Naborne-Owens LB #129
SacksMyles Williams EDGE #921.5
EJ Smith LB #21.5
Logologo Va'a DL #101
InterceptionsBryson Snelling DB #121
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.