Wk 10 · 2026
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders — Sat, Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7 ·
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · 2-4
at
3:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential WKU by 3.2
CUSA · 2-3
What is at stake
100 Miles of Hate. A hundred miles of I-65 between Murfreesboro and Bowling Green, and a rivalry whose nickname the schools have never once tried to soften. A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Western KY form
W 34-13vs MOSTL 13-34at NMSUW 52-7vs MERCL 0-38at IUL 20-70at UGA
2026 season
MTSU form
L 0-55at KUL 13-23at JXSTW 27-20vs NEVL 26-28at MRSHW 38-14vs MUR
2026 season
Western KY this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
MTSU this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Western KY | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Nevada Mountain West | at L 14-49 preview | vs W 27-20 preview |
| New Mexico St CUSA | at L 13-34 preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Sam Houston CUSA | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Delaware CUSA | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Jax State CUSA | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at L 13-23 preview |
| Liberty CUSA | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Kennesaw St CUSA | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Western KY leads 12–6 · Western KY has won the last 7
18 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.5 points toward Western KY
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-15 | MTSU 26 — 42 Western KY | at WKU | Western KY |
| 2024 | 2024-09-14 | Western KY 49 — 21 MTSU | at MTSU | Western KY |
| 2023 | 2023-09-28 | MTSU 10 — 31 Western KY | at WKU | Western KY |
| 2022 | 2022-10-15 | Western KY 35 — 17 MTSU | at MTSU | Western KY |
| 2021 | 2021-11-06 | MTSU 21 — 48 Western KY | at WKU | Western KY |
| 2020 | 2020-10-03 | Western KY 20 — 17 MTSU | at MTSU | Western KY |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | MTSU 26 — 31 Western KY | at WKU | Western KY |
| 2018 | 2018-11-02 | Western KY 10 — 29 MTSU | at MTSU | MTSU |
| 2017 | 2017-11-17 | MTSU 38 — 41 Western KY | at WKU | Western KY |
| 2016 | 2016-10-15 | Western KY 44 — 43 MTSU | at MTSU | Western KY |
| 2015 | 2015-10-10 | MTSU 28 — 58 Western KY | at WKU | Western KY |
| 2014 | 2014-09-13 | Western KY 47 — 50 MTSU | at MTSU | MTSU |
| 2012 | 2012-11-01 | MTSU 34 — 29 Western KY | at WKU | MTSU |
| 2011 | 2011-10-06 | Western KY 36 — 33 MTSU | at MTSU | Western KY |
| 2010 | 2010-11-20 | MTSU 27 — 26 Western KY | at WKU | MTSU |
| 2009 | 2009-10-24 | Western KY 24 — 62 MTSU | at MTSU | MTSU |
| 2008 | 2008-11-15 | MTSU 21 — 10 Western KY | at WKU | MTSU |
| 2007 | 2007-09-20 | Western KY 20 — 17 MTSU | at MTSU | Western KY |
Western KY leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Rodney Tisdale Jr. QB #16 | 79/118, 852 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Brock Glenn QB #11 | 53/98, 536 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Ajay Allen RB #3 | 72 CAR, 321 YDS, 4 TD |
| Brock Glenn QB #11 | 52 CAR, 268 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Le'Kamren Meadows RB #22 | 25 CAR, 133 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jonathan Stafford Jr. WR #80 | 36 REC, 332 YDS, 1 TD |
| Cameron Flowers WR #4 | 14 REC, 153 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Quincy Burroughs WR #12 | 9 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Lofton Howard TE #19 | 15 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jaylen Lewis DB #7 | 53 |
| Justin Brown DB #6 | 33 | |
| Westen Ard LB #32 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Latrevion Thompson DE #13 | 1 |
| Mackavelli Malotumau DT #0 | 1 | |
| Zsacari Minnis DE #17 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jaylen Wester LB #21 | 1 |
| Justin Brown DB #6 | 1 | |
| Tony Newsome Jr. DB #2 | 1 |
MTSU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 88/156, 913 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT |
| Rushing | Antonio Martin RB #8 | 72 CAR, 385 YDS, 1 TD |
| Terrence Brown RB #9 | 18 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 20 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Cam'ron Lacy WR #3 | 31 REC, 335 YDS, 4 TD |
| Markus Allen WR #1 | 8 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Neo Clifton WR #85 | 9 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD | |
| AJ Jones WR #6 | 8 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Korey Smith LB #26 | 47 |
| Jackson Lowe CB #2 | 31 | |
| Kalen Woods S #0 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Jackson Lowe CB #2 | 1 |
| La'Garrius Sims LB #42 | 0.5 | |
| Zeion Simpson-Smith DT #95 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Kalen Woods S #0 | 1 |
| James Johnson S #11 | 1 | |
| Jason Hardy CB #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.