Wk 11 · 2026
California Golden Bears at Virginia Cavaliers — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 3-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UVA by 10.9
ACC · 4-2
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
California form
W 25-20vs VTL 31-39at UNLVL 10-24vs CLEMW 49-7vs WAGW 21-18at SYR
2026 season
Virginia form
W 28-25vs SYRL 7-38at FSUW 42-3vs DELL 27-38vs WVUW 59-3vs NORF
2026 season
California this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Virginia this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | California | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Syracuse ACC | at W 21-18 preview | vs W 28-25 preview |
| Virginia Tech ACC | vs W 25-20 preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Wake Forest ACC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| SMU ACC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| NC State ACC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs W 34-8 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Virginia leads 1–0 · Virginia won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
10.0 points toward Virginia
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-01 | Virginia 31 — 21 California | at CAL | Virginia |
California leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele QB #3 | 107/164, 1180 YDS, 8 TD, 5 INT |
| Jackson Brousseau QB #11 | 29/48, 299 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Adam Mohammed RB #24 | 73 CAR, 336 YDS, 3 TD |
| Ashten Emory RB #20 | 28 CAR, 103 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Tyree Sams WR #81 | 3 CAR, 28 YDS | |
| Receiving | Ian Strong WR #9 | 23 REC, 299 YDS, 1 TD |
| Chase Hendricks WR #7 | 32 REC, 267 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Adam Mohammed RB #24 | 17 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Mason Mini TE #85 | 12 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Kingston Lopa DB #2 | 29 |
| AJ Tuitele LB #9 | 27 | |
| Tristan Jernigan LB #32 | 25 | |
| Sacks | AJ Tuitele LB #9 | 3 |
| Daniel Harris DB #7 | 2 | |
| Nate Burrell DL #98 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kingston Lopa DB #2 | 5 |
| Aiden Manutai DB #14 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Crosby DB #23 | 1 |
Virginia leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Beau Pribula QB #7 | 80/118, 961 YDS, 12 TD, 1 INT |
| Eli Holstein QB #10 | 12/18, 180 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Jekail Middlebrook RB #21 | 50 CAR, 242 YDS, 1 TD |
| Xavier Brown RB #0 | 31 CAR, 166 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Xay Davis RB #25 | 32 CAR, 160 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Kameron Courtney WR #5 | 15 REC, 166 YDS, 2 TD |
| Rico Flores Jr. WR #11 | 11 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Da'Shawn Martin WR #18 | 11 REC, 148 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Josiah Abdullah WR #13 | 4 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jacobie Henderson CB #10 | 27 |
| Myles Brown LB #13 | 23 | |
| Fisher Camac DE #14 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Matthew Fobbs-White DE #16 | 3 |
| Nnanna Anyanwu DE #33 | 2 | |
| Fisher Camac DE #14 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Brandyn Hillman S #6 | 3 |
| Keke Adams S #21 | 2 | |
| Corey Costner S #4 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.