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Wk 6 · 2026

Syracuse Orange at Virginia Cavaliers — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA · ACC Network FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 2-3
25
at
7:30pET
UVA -14 · total 49.5 DraftKings opened -8.5 · 5.5 toward UVA
Ratings differential UVA by 7.1
ACC · 4-2
28

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Syracuse: +0.4#68
Efficiency margin
Virginia: +5.1#46
Syracuse: 31.7
Offense (pts/100)
Virginia: 31.6
Syracuse: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
Virginia: 17.6
Syracuse: 80.6
Pace (plays/g)
Virginia: 68.7
Syracuse: 5.55
Yards / play
Virginia: 5.54
Syracuse: 5.06
Yards / play allowed
Virginia: 4.85
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Syracuse: 32.8
Points / game
Virginia: 32.8
Syracuse: 24.0
Points allowed
Virginia: 19.2
Syracuse: 447
Yards / game
Virginia: 380
Syracuse: 313
Yards allowed
Virginia: 314
Syracuse: 168
Pass yds allowed
Virginia: 162
Syracuse: 144
Rush yds allowed
Virginia: 152
Syracuse: 1.40
Turnovers / game
Virginia: 0.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Syracuse form

L 25-28at UVAW 42-41at CONNL 13-27at PITTL 18-21vs CALW 66-3vs UNH
2026 season

Virginia form

W 28-25vs SYRL 7-38at FSUW 42-3vs DELL 27-38vs WVUW 59-3vs NORF
2026 season

Syracuse this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Virginia this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentSyracuseVirginia
California
ACC
vs L 18-21 previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
North Carolina
ACC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
SMU
ACC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
NC State
ACC
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs W 34-8 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Virginia leads 2–1 · Virginia won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.3 points toward Virginia
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-10Syracuse 25 — 28 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20222022-09-23Virginia 20 — 22 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20152015-10-17Syracuse 38 — 44 Virginiaat UVAVirginia

Syracuse leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSteve Angeli QB #957/104, 731 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT
Amari Odom QB #1237/48, 398 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
RushingTylik Hill RB #2046 CAR, 287 YDS, 1 TD
Shavane Anderson Jr. RB #2330 CAR, 146 YDS, 3 TD
Ahmad Miller RB #2224 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingUmari Hatcher WR #229 REC, 434 YDS, 5 TD
Justus Ross-Simmons WR #1210 REC, 161 YDS
Daunte Bacheyie TE #197 REC, 120 YDS, 3 TD
Darius Johnson WR #612 REC, 109 YDS
Defense
TacklesChris D'Appolonia LB #626
Braheem Long Jr. DB #022
Antoine Deslauriers LB #522
SacksKeyshawn Johnson LB #143.5
Tunmise Adeleye DL #303
Steve Angeli QB #91
InterceptionsRashard Perry DL #921
Davien Kerr DB #31

Virginia leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBeau Pribula QB #780/118, 961 YDS, 12 TD, 1 INT
Eli Holstein QB #1012/18, 180 YDS, 3 TD
RushingJekail Middlebrook RB #2150 CAR, 242 YDS, 1 TD
Xavier Brown RB #031 CAR, 166 YDS, 2 TD
Xay Davis RB #2532 CAR, 160 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKameron Courtney WR #515 REC, 166 YDS, 2 TD
Rico Flores Jr. WR #1111 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD
Da'Shawn Martin WR #1811 REC, 148 YDS, 4 TD
Josiah Abdullah WR #134 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJacobie Henderson CB #1027
Myles Brown LB #1323
Fisher Camac DE #1422
SacksMatthew Fobbs-White DE #163
Nnanna Anyanwu DE #332
Fisher Camac DE #141
InterceptionsBrandyn Hillman S #63
Keke Adams S #212
Corey Costner S #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.