Wk 8 · 2026
Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Weather
64° / 44° clear
10% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
ACC · 2-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNC by 6.1
ACC · 3-2
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Syracuse form
L 25-28at UVAW 42-41at CONNL 13-27at PITTL 18-21vs CALW 66-3vs UNH
2026 season
North Carolina form
W 21-17at PITTL 26-37vs NDL 20-28at CLEMW 35-3vs ETSUW 15-10at TCU
2026 season
Syracuse this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
North Carolina this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Syracuse | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Pitt ACC | at L 13-27 preview | at W 21-17 preview |
| UConn FBS Indep. | at W 42-41 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Virginia ACC | at L 25-28 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Louisville ACC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Clemson ACC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at L 20-28 preview |
| NC State ACC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Notre Dame FBS Indep. | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs L 26-37 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, North Carolina leads 3–1 · North Carolina has won the last 3
4 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
18.0 points toward North Carolina
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-31 | North Carolina 27 — 10 Syracuse | at SYR | North Carolina |
| 2023 | 2023-10-07 | Syracuse 7 — 40 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2020 | 2020-09-12 | Syracuse 6 — 31 North Carolina | at UNC | North Carolina |
| 2018 | 2018-10-20 | North Carolina 37 — 40 Syracuse | at SYR | Syracuse |
Syracuse leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Steve Angeli QB #9 | 57/104, 731 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT |
| Amari Odom QB #12 | 37/48, 398 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Tylik Hill RB #20 | 46 CAR, 287 YDS, 1 TD |
| Shavane Anderson Jr. RB #23 | 30 CAR, 146 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Ahmad Miller RB #22 | 24 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Umari Hatcher WR #2 | 29 REC, 434 YDS, 5 TD |
| Justus Ross-Simmons WR #12 | 10 REC, 161 YDS | |
| Daunte Bacheyie TE #19 | 7 REC, 120 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Darius Johnson WR #6 | 12 REC, 109 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Chris D'Appolonia LB #6 | 26 |
| Braheem Long Jr. DB #0 | 22 | |
| Antoine Deslauriers LB #5 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Keyshawn Johnson LB #14 | 3.5 |
| Tunmise Adeleye DL #30 | 3 | |
| Steve Angeli QB #9 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Rashard Perry DL #92 | 1 |
| Davien Kerr DB #3 | 1 |
North Carolina leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Billy Edwards Jr. QB #9 | 61/106, 820 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Miles O'Neill QB #8 | 3/6, 22 YDS | |
| Rushing | Benjamin Hall RB #7 | 43 CAR, 251 YDS |
| Demon June RB #0 | 31 CAR, 128 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jaylen McGill RB #27 | 17 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Jordan Shipp WR #1 | 20 REC, 273 YDS |
| Jelani Thurman TE #45 | 16 REC, 233 YDS, 3 TD | |
| C.J. Sadler WR #14 | 5 REC, 87 YDS | |
| Trech Kekahuna WR #2 | 6 REC, 71 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Derek McDonald LB #15 | 36 |
| Peyton Seelmann LB #10 | 31 | |
| Leroy Jackson DL #91 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Xavier Lewis DL #90 | 6 |
| Jaylen Harvey DL #11 | 2 | |
| Melkart Abou Jaoude DL #9 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Greg Smith DB #1 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.