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Wk 3 · 2026

Syracuse Orange at Pittsburgh Panthers — Thu, Sep 17

Thu, Sep 17 · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA · ESPN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 2-3
13
at
7:30pET
PITT -10.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential PITT by 12.4
ACC · 5-1
27

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Pitt is ranked #25 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Syracuse: +0.4#68
Efficiency margin
Pitt: +10.4#30
Syracuse: 31.7
Offense (pts/100)
Pitt: 36.7
Syracuse: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
Pitt: 17.3
Syracuse: 80.6
Pace (plays/g)
Pitt: 72.7
Syracuse: 5.55
Yards / play
Pitt: 6.33
Syracuse: 5.06
Yards / play allowed
Pitt: 4.88
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Syracuse: 32.8
Points / game
Pitt: 34.8
Syracuse: 24.0
Points allowed
Pitt: 14.7
Syracuse: 447
Yards / game
Pitt: 460
Syracuse: 313
Yards allowed
Pitt: 291
Syracuse: 168
Pass yds allowed
Pitt: 241
Syracuse: 144
Rush yds allowed
Pitt: 50
Syracuse: 1.40
Turnovers / game
Pitt: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Syracuse form

L 25-28at UVAW 42-41at CONNL 13-27at PITTL 18-21vs CALW 66-3vs UNH
2026 season

Pitt form

L 17-21vs UNCW 35-33at VTW 59-0vs BUCKW 27-13vs SYRW 12-7vs UCF
2026 season

Syracuse this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Pitt this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentSyracusePitt
California
ACC
vs L 18-21 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Louisville
ACC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
North Carolina
ACC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs L 17-21 preview
Boston College
ACC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Pitt leads 18–3 · Pitt has won the last 3
21 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 10.9 points toward Pitt
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-17Syracuse 13 — 27 Pittat PITTPitt
20252025-10-18Pitt 30 — 13 Syracuseat SYRPitt
20242024-10-24Syracuse 13 — 41 Pittat PITTPitt
20232023-11-11Pitt 13 — 28 SyracuseneutralSyracuse
20222022-11-05Syracuse 9 — 19 Pittat PITTPitt
20212021-11-27Pitt 31 — 14 Syracuseat SYRPitt
20202020-09-19Syracuse 10 — 21 Pittat PITTPitt
20192019-10-18Pitt 27 — 20 Syracuseat SYRPitt
20182018-10-06Syracuse 37 — 44 Pittat PITTPitt
20172017-10-07Pitt 24 — 27 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20162016-11-26Syracuse 61 — 76 Pittat PITTPitt
20152015-10-24Pitt 23 — 20 Syracuseat SYRPitt
20142014-11-22Syracuse 7 — 30 Pittat PITTPitt
20132013-11-23Pitt 17 — 16 Syracuseat SYRPitt
20122012-10-05Pitt 13 — 14 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20112011-12-03Syracuse 20 — 33 Pittat PITTPitt
20102010-10-16Pitt 45 — 14 Syracuseat SYRPitt
20092009-11-07Syracuse 10 — 37 Pittat PITTPitt
20082008-09-27Pitt 34 — 24 Syracuseat SYRPitt
20072007-11-03Syracuse 17 — 20 Pittat PITTPitt
20062006-10-07Pitt 21 — 11 Syracuseat SYRPitt

Syracuse leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSteve Angeli QB #957/104, 731 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT
Amari Odom QB #1237/48, 398 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
RushingTylik Hill RB #2046 CAR, 287 YDS, 1 TD
Shavane Anderson Jr. RB #2330 CAR, 146 YDS, 3 TD
Ahmad Miller RB #2224 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingUmari Hatcher WR #229 REC, 434 YDS, 5 TD
Justus Ross-Simmons WR #1210 REC, 161 YDS
Daunte Bacheyie TE #197 REC, 120 YDS, 3 TD
Darius Johnson WR #612 REC, 109 YDS
Defense
TacklesChris D'Appolonia LB #626
Braheem Long Jr. DB #022
Antoine Deslauriers LB #522
SacksKeyshawn Johnson LB #143.5
Tunmise Adeleye DL #303
Steve Angeli QB #91
InterceptionsRashard Perry DL #921
Davien Kerr DB #31

Pitt leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMason Heintschel QB #698/148, 1304 YDS, 14 TD, 1 INT
Holden Geriner QB #1519/26, 219 YDS, 2 TD
RushingDamon Ferguson Jr. RB #2651 CAR, 270 YDS, 3 TD
La'Vell Wright RB #2935 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
Mason Heintschel QB #630 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCataurus Hicks WR #315 REC, 315 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Yates WR #415 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD
Censere Lee WR #1018 REC, 195 YDS, 4 TD
Carson Kent TE #8612 REC, 157 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesCruce Brookins DB #1226
Josh Guerrier DB #1424
Jeremiah Marcelin LB #3222
SacksNick James DL #112
Isaiah Neal DL #21.5
Jaeden Moore DL #81.5
InterceptionsRaion Strader DB #61
Braylan Lovelace LB #01
Cameron Lindsey LB #241
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.