Also oursNFL Schedulethis site, for the NFLThe CFB Kingodds and projections — a paid site
CFB Schedule college football
CFBNFL
Wk 1 · 2026

NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Cavaliers — Sat, Aug 29

Sat, Aug 29 · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA · ESPN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NC State Wolfpack
ACC · 3-3
8
at
3:30pET
UVA -4 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -5.5 · 1.5 toward NCSU
Ratings differential UVA by 6.0
Virginia Cavaliers
ACC · 4-2
34

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

NC State: +1.5#64
Efficiency margin
Virginia: +5.1#46
NC State: 33.7
Offense (pts/100)
Virginia: 31.6
NC State: 23.1
Defense (pts/100)
Virginia: 17.6
NC State: 71.0
Pace (plays/g)
Virginia: 68.7
NC State: 6.00
Yards / play
Virginia: 5.54
NC State: 6.06
Yards / play allowed
Virginia: 4.85
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

NC State: 33.0
Points / game
Virginia: 32.8
NC State: 27.7
Points allowed
Virginia: 19.2
NC State: 426
Yards / game
Virginia: 380
NC State: 364
Yards allowed
Virginia: 314
NC State: 230
Pass yds allowed
Virginia: 162
NC State: 134
Rush yds allowed
Virginia: 152
NC State: 1.50
Turnovers / game
Virginia: 0.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

NC State form

L 14-38vs WAKEW 31-28vs LOUW 41-31vs APPL 31-35at VANW 73-0vs RICH
2026 season

Virginia form

W 28-25vs SYRL 7-38at FSUW 42-3vs DELL 27-38vs WVUW 59-3vs NORF
2026 season

NC State this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Virginia this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentNC StateVirginia
Wake Forest
ACC
vs L 14-38 previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
California
ACC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Duke
ACC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Syracuse
ACC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs W 28-25 preview
Florida St
ACC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat L 7-38 preview
North Carolina
ACC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, NC State leads 6–3 · Virginia won the last one
9 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.3 points toward Virginia
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-08-29NC State 8 — 34 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20252025-09-06Virginia 31 — 35 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20232023-09-22NC State 24 — 21 Virginiaat UVANC State
20202020-10-10NC State 38 — 21 Virginiaat UVANC State
20182018-09-29Virginia 21 — 35 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20122012-11-03Virginia 33 — 6 NC Stateat NCSUVirginia
20112011-10-22NC State 28 — 14 Virginiaat UVANC State
20072007-10-27Virginia 24 — 29 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20062006-10-28NC State 7 — 14 Virginiaat UVAVirginia

NC State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCJ Bailey QB #1198/150, 1266 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Will Wilson QB #108/11, 33 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJayden Scott RB #162 CAR, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Davion Gause RB #746 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD
Will Wilson QB #1035 CAR, 166 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingKeenan Jackson WR #822 REC, 339 YDS, 5 TD
Preston Douglas TE #1919 REC, 241 YDS, 1 TD
Joshisa Trader WR #216 REC, 221 YDS
Davion Gause RB #710 REC, 117 YDS
Defense
TacklesPopo Aguirre LB #042
Brian Nelson II CB #724
Ronnie Royal III S #218
SacksElijah Satchell LB #582
Harvey Dyson III LB #51.5
Chase Bond DE #921
InterceptionsJackson Vick CB #221
Brody Barnhardt S #291
Jaren Sensabaugh CB #141
full roster and per-player history

Virginia leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBeau Pribula QB #780/118, 961 YDS, 12 TD, 1 INT
Eli Holstein QB #1012/18, 180 YDS, 3 TD
RushingJekail Middlebrook RB #2150 CAR, 242 YDS, 1 TD
Xavier Brown RB #031 CAR, 166 YDS, 2 TD
Xay Davis RB #2532 CAR, 160 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKameron Courtney WR #515 REC, 166 YDS, 2 TD
Rico Flores Jr. WR #1111 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD
Da'Shawn Martin WR #1811 REC, 148 YDS, 4 TD
Josiah Abdullah WR #134 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJacobie Henderson CB #1027
Myles Brown LB #1323
Fisher Camac DE #1422
SacksMatthew Fobbs-White DE #163
Nnanna Anyanwu DE #332
Fisher Camac DE #141
InterceptionsBrandyn Hillman S #63
Keke Adams S #212
Corey Costner S #41
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.