Wk 4 · 2026
Iowa Hawkeyes at Michigan Wolverines — Sat, Sep 26
Sat, Sep 26 ·
Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
· CBS FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
MICH -5.5 · total 39.5 DraftKings opened -4.5 · 1 toward MICH
Ratings differential IOWA by 5.1
What is at stake
A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Iowa is ranked #20 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Iowa form
W 41-24at WASHL 14-31vs OSUW 20-19at MICHW 55-0vs UNIW 16-13vs ISU
2026 season
Michigan form
L 14-20at MINNL 19-20vs IOWAW 52-17vs UTEPW 17-10vs OUW 13-12vs WMU
2026 season
Iowa this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Michigan this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 2
| Opponent | Iowa | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Big Ten | vs L 14-31 preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Minnesota Big Ten | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at L 14-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 6–6 · Iowa won the last one
12 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.2 points toward Michigan
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-26 | Iowa 20 — 19 Michigan | at MICH | Iowa |
| 2023 | 2023-12-02 | Michigan 26 — 0 Iowa | neutral | Michigan |
| 2022 | 2022-10-01 | Michigan 27 — 14 Iowa | at IOWA | Michigan |
| 2021 | 2021-12-04 | Michigan 42 — 3 Iowa | neutral | Michigan |
| 2019 | 2019-10-05 | Iowa 3 — 10 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2016 | 2016-11-12 | Michigan 13 — 14 Iowa | at IOWA | Iowa |
| 2013 | 2013-11-23 | Michigan 21 — 24 Iowa | at IOWA | Iowa |
| 2012 | 2012-11-17 | Iowa 17 — 42 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2011 | 2011-11-05 | Michigan 16 — 24 Iowa | at IOWA | Iowa |
| 2010 | 2010-10-16 | Iowa 38 — 28 Michigan | at MICH | Iowa |
| 2009 | 2009-10-10 | Michigan 28 — 30 Iowa | at IOWA | Iowa |
| 2006 | 2006-10-21 | Iowa 6 — 20 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
Iowa leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Hank Brown QB #9 | 78/124, 832 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT |
| Jeremy Hecklinski QB #10 | 32/51, 410 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kamari Moulton RB #28 | 76 CAR, 519 YDS, 4 TD |
| Xavier Williams RB #26 | 20 CAR, 170 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Braeden Jackson RB #22 | 19 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Tony Diaz WR #14 | 28 REC, 329 YDS, 1 TD |
| Reece Vander Zee WR #2 | 16 REC, 247 YDS, 3 TD | |
| DJ Vonnahme TE #81 | 18 REC, 219 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Addison Ostrenga TE #87 | 8 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Cam Buffington LB #33 | 52 |
| Jayden Montgomery LB #36 | 35 | |
| Zach Lutmer DB #6 | 34 | |
| Sacks | Joseph Anderson DE #84 | 3 |
| Preston Ries LB #46 | 2.5 | |
| Bryce Hawthorne DL #96 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Deshaun Lee DB #8 | 2 |
| Rashad Godfrey Jr. DB #7 | 1 | |
| Jacob Wallace DB #11 | 1 |
Michigan leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Bryce Underwood QB #19 | 67/113, 881 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT |
| Tommy Carr QB #14 | 2/2, 23 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Jordan Marshall RB #23 | 55 CAR, 244 YDS, 3 TD |
| Bryce Underwood QB #19 | 57 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Savion Hiter RB #5 | 46 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | JJ Buchanan WR #6 | 24 REC, 446 YDS, 4 TD |
| Andrew Marsh WR #3 | 25 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Savion Hiter RB #5 | 5 REC, 59 YDS | |
| Hogan Hansen TE #80 | 5 REC, 35 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Troy Bowles LB #18 | 40 |
| Jyaire Hill CB #0 | 25 | |
| Nathaniel Staehling LB #44 | 25 | |
| Sacks | John Henry Daley DE #90 | 3 |
| Dom Nichols DE #8 | 2.5 | |
| Nate Marshall DE #94 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Jonah Lea'ea DT #91 | 1 |
| Smith Snowden CB #3 | 1 | |
| Jyaire Hill CB #0 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.