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Wk 13 · 2026

Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes — Sat, Nov 28

Sat, Nov 28 · Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH · Fox

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 48 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Michigan Wolverines
Big Ten · 3-2
at
12:00pET
OSU -13.5 · total 46.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential OSU by 20.3
#5 Ohio State Buckeyes
Big Ten · 5-1

What is at stake

The Game. No trophy, no nickname beyond the definite article — just the winningest rivalry in the sport, and in the 12-team playoff era it is almost always the last gate between one of these teams and a bye. A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Ohio State is ranked #5 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Michigan: +8.8#36
Efficiency margin
Ohio State: +26.7#3
Michigan: 32.0
Offense (pts/100)
Ohio State: 44.4
Michigan: 14.2
Defense (pts/100)
Ohio State: 8.6
Michigan: 58.6
Pace (plays/g)
Ohio State: 68.7
Michigan: 5.39
Yards / play
Ohio State: 7.33
Michigan: 4.02
Yards / play allowed
Ohio State: 4.00
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Michigan: 23.0
Points / game
Ohio State: 42.7
Michigan: 15.8
Points allowed
Ohio State: 13.2
Michigan: 316
Yards / game
Ohio State: 504
Michigan: 241
Yards allowed
Ohio State: 247
Michigan: 147
Pass yds allowed
Ohio State: 151
Michigan: 95
Rush yds allowed
Ohio State: 96
Michigan: 1.80
Turnovers / game
Ohio State: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Michigan form

L 14-20at MINNL 19-20vs IOWAW 52-17vs UTEPW 17-10vs OUW 13-12vs WMU
2026 season

Ohio State form

W 45-16vs MDW 31-14at IOWAW 42-19vs ILLW 59-3vs KENTL 23-24at TEX
2026 season

Michigan this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Ohio State this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentMichiganOhio State
Iowa
Big Ten
vs L 19-20 previewat W 31-14 preview
Indiana
Big Ten
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Oregon
Big Ten
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Ohio State leads 14–5 · Ohio State won the last one
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 9.0 points toward Ohio State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-29Ohio State 27 — 9 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20242024-11-30Michigan 13 — 10 Ohio Stateat OSUMichigan
20232023-11-25Ohio State 24 — 30 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20222022-11-26Michigan 45 — 23 Ohio Stateat OSUMichigan
20212021-11-27Ohio State 27 — 42 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20192019-11-30Ohio State 56 — 27 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20182018-11-24Michigan 39 — 62 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20172017-11-25Ohio State 31 — 20 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20162016-11-26Michigan 27 — 30 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20152015-11-28Ohio State 42 — 13 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20142014-11-29Michigan 28 — 42 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20132013-11-30Ohio State 42 — 41 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20122012-11-24Michigan 21 — 26 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20112011-11-26Ohio State 34 — 40 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20102010-11-27Michigan 7 — 37 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20092009-11-21Ohio State 21 — 10 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20082008-11-22Michigan 7 — 42 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20072007-11-17Ohio State 14 — 3 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20062006-11-18Michigan 39 — 42 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State

Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBryce Underwood QB #1967/113, 881 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
Tommy Carr QB #142/2, 23 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJordan Marshall RB #2355 CAR, 244 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Underwood QB #1957 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Savion Hiter RB #546 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJJ Buchanan WR #624 REC, 446 YDS, 4 TD
Andrew Marsh WR #325 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD
Savion Hiter RB #55 REC, 59 YDS
Hogan Hansen TE #805 REC, 35 YDS
Defense
TacklesTroy Bowles LB #1840
Jyaire Hill CB #025
Nathaniel Staehling LB #4425
SacksJohn Henry Daley DE #903
Dom Nichols DE #82.5
Nate Marshall DE #942
InterceptionsJonah Lea'ea DT #911
Smith Snowden CB #31
Jyaire Hill CB #01
full roster and per-player history

Ohio State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJulian Sayin QB #10103/142, 1530 YDS, 13 TD, 1 INT
Luke Fahey QB #139/11, 203 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
RushingBo Jackson RB #2566 CAR, 353 YDS, 2 TD
Ja'Kobi Jackson RB #2445 CAR, 278 YDS, 6 TD
Isaiah West RB #3222 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Smith WR #444 REC, 823 YDS, 9 TD
Devin McCuin WR #317 REC, 245 YDS, 2 TD
Brandon Inniss WR #110 REC, 147 YDS, 1 TD
Brock Boyd WR #116 REC, 110 YDS
Defense
TacklesEarl Little Jr. S #126
Payton Pierce LB #2626
Jaylen McClain S #820
SacksKenyatta Jackson Jr. DE #23
Riley Pettijohn LB #52
Qua Russaw DE #41
InterceptionsJaylen McClain S #82
Tarvos Alford LB #171
Riley Pettijohn LB #51
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.