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Wk 11 · 2026

Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 3-2
at
TBDET
ORE -13.5 · total 53.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential ORE by 13.5
Big Ten · 3-2

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Oregon is ranked #13 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Michigan: +8.8#36
Efficiency margin
Oregon: +19.9#8
Michigan: 32.0
Offense (pts/100)
Oregon: 42.4
Michigan: 14.2
Defense (pts/100)
Oregon: 13.5
Michigan: 58.6
Pace (plays/g)
Oregon: 69.2
Michigan: 5.39
Yards / play
Oregon: 6.63
Michigan: 4.02
Yards / play allowed
Oregon: 5.22
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Michigan: 23.0
Points / game
Oregon: 41.0
Michigan: 15.8
Points allowed
Oregon: 22.0
Michigan: 316
Yards / game
Oregon: 459
Michigan: 241
Yards allowed
Oregon: 344
Michigan: 147
Pass yds allowed
Oregon: 226
Michigan: 95
Rush yds allowed
Oregon: 118
Michigan: 1.80
Turnovers / game
Oregon: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Michigan form

L 14-20at MINNL 19-20vs IOWAW 52-17vs UTEPW 17-10vs OUW 13-12vs WMU
2026 season

Oregon form

L 15-17vs UCLAW 41-27at USCW 84-0vs PRSTL 31-39at OKSTW 34-27vs BOIS
2026 season

Michigan this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Oregon this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentMichiganOregon
Michigan St
Big Ten
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
UCLA
Big Ten
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs L 15-17 preview
Ohio State
Big Ten
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Oregon leads 2–0 · Oregon has won the last 2
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 26.5 points toward Oregon
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-02Oregon 38 — 17 Michiganat MICHOregon
20072007-09-08Oregon 39 — 7 Michiganat MICHOregon

Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBryce Underwood QB #1967/113, 881 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
Tommy Carr QB #142/2, 23 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJordan Marshall RB #2355 CAR, 244 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Underwood QB #1957 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Savion Hiter RB #546 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJJ Buchanan WR #624 REC, 446 YDS, 4 TD
Andrew Marsh WR #325 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD
Savion Hiter RB #55 REC, 59 YDS
Hogan Hansen TE #805 REC, 35 YDS
Defense
TacklesTroy Bowles LB #1840
Jyaire Hill CB #025
Nathaniel Staehling LB #4425
SacksJohn Henry Daley DE #903
Dom Nichols DE #82.5
Nate Marshall DE #942
InterceptionsJonah Lea'ea DT #911
Smith Snowden CB #31
Jyaire Hill CB #01

Oregon leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDante Moore QB #569/99, 926 YDS, 9 TD
Dylan Raiola QB #830/36, 413 YDS, 5 TD
RushingJordon Davison RB #049 CAR, 260 YDS, 5 TD
Dierre Hill Jr. RB #642 CAR, 184 YDS, 3 TD
Brandon Smith RB #2616 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingEvan Stewart WR #722 REC, 278 YDS, 3 TD
Dakorien Moore WR #114 REC, 234 YDS, 4 TD
Jamari Johnson TE #911 REC, 176 YDS, 1 TD
Jeremiah McClellan WR #37 REC, 170 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKoi Perich DB #324
Devon Jackson LB #923
Teitum Tuioti LB #4418
SacksMatayo Uiagalelei LB #103
Bear Alexander DL #12
Teitum Tuioti LB #441
InterceptionsJett Washington DB #242
Devon Jackson LB #91
Matayo Uiagalelei LB #101
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.