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Wk 1 · 2026

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Pittsburgh Panthers — Sat, Sep 5

Sat, Sep 5 · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA · CW FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:30pET
PITT -16.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential PITT by 22.8
ACC · 5-1
59

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Pitt is ranked #25 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Miami OH: -10.0#107
Efficiency margin
Pitt: +10.4#30
Miami OH: 25.2
Offense (pts/100)
Pitt: 36.7
Miami OH: 26.2
Defense (pts/100)
Pitt: 17.3
Miami OH: 57.5
Pace (plays/g)
Pitt: 72.7
Miami OH: 6.13
Yards / play
Pitt: 6.33
Miami OH: 6.07
Yards / play allowed
Pitt: 4.88
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Miami OH: 25.7
Points / game
Pitt: 34.8
Miami OH: 27.5
Points allowed
Pitt: 14.7
Miami OH: 353
Yards / game
Pitt: 460
Miami OH: 387
Yards allowed
Pitt: 291
Miami OH: 284
Pass yds allowed
Pitt: 241
Miami OH: 103
Rush yds allowed
Pitt: 50
Miami OH: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Pitt: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Miami OH form

W 20-19at MASSL 20-24vs BGSUW 24-21vs CONNL 31-35at CINW 45-7vs HC
2026 season

Pitt form

L 17-21vs UNCW 35-33at VTW 59-0vs BUCKW 27-13vs SYRW 12-7vs UCF
2026 season

Miami OH this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Pitt this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Pitt leads 1–0 · Pitt won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 45.0 points toward Pitt
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-05Miami OH 14 — 59 Pittat PITTPitt

Miami OH leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDavid McComb QB #1665/103, 1121 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
Caleb Heavner QB #624/33, 234 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingRodney Nelson RB #044 CAR, 154 YDS
Lazaro Rogers RB #2120 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
D'Shawntae Jones RB #926 CAR, 72 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDamarion Witten WR #812 REC, 274 YDS, 2 TD
Lynel Billups-Williams WR #1019 REC, 265 YDS, 2 TD
Maleek Huggins WR #114 REC, 262 YDS, 1 TD
Braylon Isom WR #1810 REC, 153 YDS
Defense
TacklesMalcolm McCain LB #339
Blayne Myrick LB #1524
Dillon Tatum DB #123
SacksGrant Lyons LB #432
Tyler Dikos LB #352
Roosevelt Andrews III DL #921.5
InterceptionsCJ Young LB #81

Pitt leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMason Heintschel QB #698/148, 1304 YDS, 14 TD, 1 INT
Holden Geriner QB #1519/26, 219 YDS, 2 TD
RushingDamon Ferguson Jr. RB #2651 CAR, 270 YDS, 3 TD
La'Vell Wright RB #2935 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
Mason Heintschel QB #630 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCataurus Hicks WR #315 REC, 315 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Yates WR #415 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD
Censere Lee WR #1018 REC, 195 YDS, 4 TD
Carson Kent TE #8612 REC, 157 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesCruce Brookins DB #1226
Josh Guerrier DB #1424
Jeremiah Marcelin LB #3222
SacksNick James DL #112
Isaiah Neal DL #21.5
Jaeden Moore DL #81.5
InterceptionsRaion Strader DB #61
Braylan Lovelace LB #01
Cameron Lindsey LB #241
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.