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Wk 9 · 2026

Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 3-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MICH by 10.1

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Michigan: +8.8#36
Efficiency margin
Rutgers: -3.7#86
Michigan: 32.0
Offense (pts/100)
Rutgers: 31.8
Michigan: 14.2
Defense (pts/100)
Rutgers: 26.6
Michigan: 58.6
Pace (plays/g)
Rutgers: 65.4
Michigan: 5.39
Yards / play
Rutgers: 6.05
Michigan: 4.02
Yards / play allowed
Rutgers: 6.72
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Michigan: 23.0
Points / game
Rutgers: 30.0
Michigan: 15.8
Points allowed
Rutgers: 32.2
Michigan: 316
Yards / game
Rutgers: 396
Michigan: 241
Yards allowed
Rutgers: 407
Michigan: 147
Pass yds allowed
Rutgers: 208
Michigan: 95
Rush yds allowed
Rutgers: 199
Michigan: 1.80
Turnovers / game
Rutgers: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Michigan form

L 14-20at MINNL 19-20vs IOWAW 52-17vs UTEPW 17-10vs OUW 13-12vs WMU
2026 season

Rutgers form

L 15-47vs IUW 58-7vs HOWL 35-42vs USCL 21-28at BCL 21-37vs MASS
2026 season

Michigan this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Rutgers this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentMichiganRutgers
Penn State
Big Ten
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Indiana
Big Ten
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs L 15-47 preview
Michigan St
Big Ten
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Michigan leads 9–1 · Michigan has won the last 9
10 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 28.9 points toward Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-09-23Rutgers 7 — 31 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20222022-11-05Michigan 52 — 17 Rutgersat RUTGMichigan
20212021-09-25Rutgers 13 — 20 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20202020-11-21Michigan 48 — 42 Rutgersat RUTGMichigan
20192019-09-28Rutgers 0 — 52 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20182018-11-10Michigan 42 — 7 Rutgersat RUTGMichigan
20172017-10-28Rutgers 14 — 35 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20162016-10-08Michigan 78 — 0 Rutgersat RUTGMichigan
20152015-11-07Rutgers 16 — 49 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20142014-10-04Michigan 24 — 26 Rutgersat RUTGRutgers

Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBryce Underwood QB #1967/113, 881 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
Tommy Carr QB #142/2, 23 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJordan Marshall RB #2355 CAR, 244 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Underwood QB #1957 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Savion Hiter RB #546 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJJ Buchanan WR #624 REC, 446 YDS, 4 TD
Andrew Marsh WR #325 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD
Savion Hiter RB #55 REC, 59 YDS
Hogan Hansen TE #805 REC, 35 YDS
Defense
TacklesTroy Bowles LB #1840
Jyaire Hill CB #025
Nathaniel Staehling LB #4425
SacksJohn Henry Daley DE #903
Dom Nichols DE #82.5
Nate Marshall DE #942
InterceptionsJonah Lea'ea DT #911
Smith Snowden CB #31
Jyaire Hill CB #01

Rutgers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDylan Lonergan QB #1251/92, 775 YDS, 7 TD, 5 INT
AJ Surace QB #1033/53, 475 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
RushingAntwan Raymond RB #389 CAR, 469 YDS, 4 TD
Clay Thevenin RB #942 CAR, 180 YDS, 3 TD
Aiden Gibson RB #3211 CAR, 35 YDS
ReceivingKJ Duff WR #833 REC, 628 YDS, 7 TD
Ben Black III WR #29 REC, 180 YDS, 2 TD
Jourdin Houston WR #415 REC, 169 YDS
Antwan Raymond RB #39 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesChris Joines DB #2025
Bradlee Jones DB #525
Jesse Ofurie DB #1623
SacksMoses Walker LB #21.5
Rondo Porter DL #991.5
Zaire Angoy DL #551
InterceptionsMoses Walker LB #22
Bradlee Jones DB #52
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.