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Wk 8 · 2026

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Florida International Panthers — Tue, Oct 20

Tue, Oct 20 · Pitbull Stadium, Miami, FL · CBSSN

Weather at kickoff

80°F light drizzle
55% chance of precipitation · wind 24 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential FIU by 12.5

What is at stake

A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

MTSU: -19.7#132
Efficiency margin
FIU: -9.6#106
MTSU: 20.0
Offense (pts/100)
FIU: 22.9
MTSU: 30.6
Defense (pts/100)
FIU: 23.5
MTSU: 56.8
Pace (plays/g)
FIU: 71.0
MTSU: 5.40
Yards / play
FIU: 5.33
MTSU: 6.63
Yards / play allowed
FIU: 4.02
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

MTSU: 20.8
Points / game
FIU: 18.8
MTSU: 28.0
Points allowed
FIU: 12.2
MTSU: 307
Yards / game
FIU: 378
MTSU: 421
Yards allowed
FIU: 243
MTSU: 196
Pass yds allowed
FIU: 156
MTSU: 225
Rush yds allowed
FIU: 87
MTSU: 0.40
Turnovers / game
FIU: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

MTSU form

L 0-55at KUL 13-23at JXSTW 27-20vs NEVL 26-28at MRSHW 38-14vs MUR
2026 season

FIU form

W 22-3vs NMSUW 20-3vs LIUL 10-16at FAUW 33-20vs BUFL 9-19at USF
2026 season

MTSU this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

FIU this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentMTSUFIU
Jax State
CUSA
at L 13-23 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Delaware
CUSA
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Kennesaw St
CUSA
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Liberty
CUSA
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Sam Houston
CUSA
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
New Mexico St
CUSA
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs W 22-3 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, MTSU leads 14–6 · FIU has won the last 2
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 9.9 points toward MTSU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-08FIU 56 — 30 MTSUat MTSUFIU
20242024-11-30MTSU 24 — 35 FIUat FIUFIU
20232023-11-11FIU 6 — 40 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20222022-11-26MTSU 33 — 28 FIUat FIUMTSU
20212021-11-13FIU 10 — 50 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20202020-10-10MTSU 31 — 28 FIUat FIUMTSU
20192019-10-26FIU 17 — 50 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20182018-10-13MTSU 21 — 24 FIUat FIUFIU
20172017-10-07FIU 17 — 37 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20162016-10-29MTSU 42 — 35 FIUat FIUMTSU
20152015-10-17FIU 34 — 42 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20142014-11-15MTSU 28 — 38 FIUat FIUFIU
20132013-11-09FIU 0 — 48 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20122012-10-13MTSU 34 — 30 FIUat FIUMTSU
20112011-11-26FIU 31 — 18 MTSUat MTSUFIU
20102010-12-04MTSU 28 — 27 FIUat FIUMTSU
20092009-11-07FIU 21 — 48 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20082008-10-11MTSU 21 — 31 FIUat FIUFIU
20072007-09-29FIU 6 — 47 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20062006-08-31FIU 6 — 7 MTSUat MTSUMTSU

MTSU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRoman Gagliano QB #1688/156, 913 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT
RushingAntonio Martin RB #872 CAR, 385 YDS, 1 TD
Terrence Brown RB #918 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Roman Gagliano QB #1620 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCam'ron Lacy WR #331 REC, 335 YDS, 4 TD
Markus Allen WR #18 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD
Neo Clifton WR #859 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
AJ Jones WR #68 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKorey Smith LB #2647
Jackson Lowe CB #231
Kalen Woods S #022
SacksJackson Lowe CB #21
La'Garrius Sims LB #420.5
Zeion Simpson-Smith DT #950.5
InterceptionsKalen Woods S #01
James Johnson S #111
Jason Hardy CB #211

FIU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJJ Kohl QB #1792/161, 1180 YDS, 5 TD, 7 INT
Zach Marker QB #117/11, 97 YDS
RushingAnthony Carrie RB #172 CAR, 232 YDS, 1 TD
Devonte Lyons RB #350 CAR, 195 YDS
Sterling Joseph RB #2219 CAR, 68 YDS
ReceivingMaguire Anderson WR #225 REC, 401 YDS, 2 TD
Jojo Stone WR #013 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD
Tyson Carter WR #139 REC, 153 YDS, 1 TD
Greg Gaines III WR #88 REC, 117 YDS
Defense
TacklesDeAndre Boykins DB #229
Pickle Stewart LB #1825
Percy Courtney Jr. LB #1120
SacksDeeJay Holmes Jr. DL #335
Kenton Simmons DE #54
Elisha Baldridge DL #973
InterceptionsDeAndre Boykins DB #21
Demetrius Hill DB #31
Wesley Miller DB #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.