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Wk 10 · 2026

South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 4-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UL by 4.7

What is at stake

A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

South Alabama: -5.9#90
Efficiency margin
Louisiana: -3.6#84
South Alabama: 32.2
Offense (pts/100)
Louisiana: 28.2
South Alabama: 29.1
Defense (pts/100)
Louisiana: 22.9
South Alabama: 71.2
Pace (plays/g)
Louisiana: 65.3
South Alabama: 6.15
Yards / play
Louisiana: 5.85
South Alabama: 7.27
Yards / play allowed
Louisiana: 4.99
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

South Alabama: 38.8
Points / game
Louisiana: 29.5
South Alabama: 34.5
Points allowed
Louisiana: 21.5
South Alabama: 438
Yards / game
Louisiana: 382
South Alabama: 429
Yards allowed
Louisiana: 304
South Alabama: 265
Pass yds allowed
Louisiana: 203
South Alabama: 164
Rush yds allowed
Louisiana: 101
South Alabama: 0.50
Turnovers / game
Louisiana: 1.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

South Alabama form

W 56-49at ARSTW 52-35vs ULML 21-45at UKW 41-36vs OHIOL 24-28at TULN
2026 season

Louisiana form

L 31-32at LTW 23-20vs ARSTW 34-7at CLTW 21-14vs UABL 30-49at USC
2026 season

South Alabama this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Louisiana this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-1-1 · 80% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentSouth AlabamaLouisiana
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
vs W 52-35 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Arkansas St
Sun Belt
at W 56-49 previewvs W 23-20 preview
Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 31-32 preview
Troy
Sun Belt
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Louisiana leads 10–4 · Louisiana won the last one
14 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.7 points toward Louisiana
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-01Louisiana 31 — 22 South Alabamaat USALouisiana
20242024-11-16South Alabama 24 — 22 Louisianaat ULSouth Alabama
20232023-10-28Louisiana 33 — 20 South Alabamaat USALouisiana
20222022-10-01South Alabama 20 — 17 Louisianaat ULSouth Alabama
20212021-10-02Louisiana 20 — 18 South Alabamaat USALouisiana
20202020-11-14South Alabama 10 — 38 Louisianaat ULLouisiana
20192019-11-16Louisiana 37 — 27 South Alabamaat USALouisiana
20182018-11-17South Alabama 38 — 48 Louisianaat ULLouisiana
20172017-11-04Louisiana 19 — 14 South Alabamaat USALouisiana
20162016-09-17South Alabama 23 — 28 Louisianaat ULLouisiana
20152015-11-12Louisiana 25 — 32 South Alabamaat USASouth Alabama
20142014-11-01South Alabama 9 — 19 Louisianaat ULLouisiana
20132013-12-07Louisiana 8 — 30 South Alabamaat USASouth Alabama
20122012-11-24South Alabama 30 — 52 Louisianaat ULLouisiana

South Alabama leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJared Hollins QB #756/92, 855 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
Bishop Davenport QB #440/59, 450 YDS, 3 TD
RushingKeenan Phillips RB #380 CAR, 444 YDS, 5 TD
PJ Martin RB #092 CAR, 423 YDS, 6 TD
Trae'von Dunbar RB #2145 CAR, 248 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingBrendan Jenkins WR #1221 REC, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Anthony Eager WR #111 REC, 305 YDS, 4 TD
Jeremiah Jones-Thomas WR #222 REC, 261 YDS, 1 TD
Micah Woods WR #68 REC, 127 YDS
Defense
TacklesCole Blaylock S #1442
Jordan Williams LB #4833
Dallas Young S #831
SacksStephen Johnson DL #561.5
Damyrion Darby CB #241.5
Masey Lewis DL #181
InterceptionsDamyrion Darby CB #243
D.J. Moore S #11
Jaylen Moson CB #121

Louisiana leaders 2026 regular season

PassingLunch Winfield QB #783/110, 844 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
Daniel Beale QB #115/8, 52 YDS, 1 INT
RushingLunch Winfield QB #769 CAR, 364 YDS, 7 TD
Anthony Reagan Jr. RB #2239 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD
Darrell Smith RB #030 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingKeDarius Wade WR #97 REC, 125 YDS
Russell Babineaux WR #1014 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
Caden Jensen TE #8810 REC, 110 YDS
Brock Chappell TE #839 REC, 100 YDS
Defense
TacklesConor McPherson LB #631
Brent Gordon Jr. CB #1129
Collin Jacob S #3528
SacksAshley Williams LB #21.5
Lance Williams DE #91
Avery Demery CB #101
InterceptionsBrent Gordon Jr. CB #112
Jake St. Andre LB #441
Collin Jacob S #351
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.