Wk 5 · 2026
UL Monroe Warhawks at South Alabama Jaguars — Sat, Oct 3
Sat, Oct 3 ·
Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
· ESPN+ FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:00pET
USA -13.5 · total 57.5 DraftKings opened -14.5 · 1 toward ULM
Ratings differential USA by 20.4
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
UL Monroe form
L 35-52at USAL 17-45vs FAUL 35-38vs SELAL 20-26at UABL 13-62at MSST
2026 season
South Alabama form
W 56-49at ARSTW 52-35vs ULML 21-45at UKW 41-36vs OHIOL 24-28at TULN
2026 season
UL Monroe this season
Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
South Alabama this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | UL Monroe | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| SE Louisiana FCS / Other | vs L 35-38 preview | vs W 39-14 preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Troy Sun Belt | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Southern Miss Sun Belt | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Arkansas St Sun Belt | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at W 56-49 preview |
| Louisiana Sun Belt | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| App State Sun Belt | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Marshall Sun Belt | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, South Alabama leads 8–5 · South Alabama has won the last 5
13 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.5 points toward South Alabama
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-03 | UL Monroe 35 — 52 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2025 | 2025-11-15 | South Alabama 26 — 14 UL Monroe | at ULM | South Alabama |
| 2024 | 2024-10-26 | UL Monroe 17 — 46 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2023 | 2023-10-07 | South Alabama 55 — 7 UL Monroe | at ULM | South Alabama |
| 2022 | 2022-10-15 | UL Monroe 34 — 41 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2021 | 2021-10-23 | South Alabama 31 — 41 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2020 | 2020-10-24 | UL Monroe 14 — 38 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2019 | 2019-09-28 | South Alabama 17 — 30 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2018 | 2018-11-10 | UL Monroe 38 — 10 South Alabama | at USA | UL Monroe |
| 2017 | 2017-10-21 | UL Monroe 23 — 33 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2016 | 2016-11-05 | South Alabama 35 — 42 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2013 | 2013-11-23 | UL Monroe 14 — 36 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2012 | 2012-10-27 | South Alabama 24 — 38 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
UL Monroe leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Aidan Armenta QB #10 | 69/107, 855 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Austin Carlisle QB #12 | 35/53, 312 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Austin Carlisle QB #12 | 37 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD |
| Bryson Roland RB #25 | 40 CAR, 144 YDS | |
| Derrick Jameson RB #3 | 22 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Marcellus Jackson WR #1 | 26 REC, 234 YDS |
| LT Robinson WR #0 | 12 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Parker Fulghum WR #13 | 13 REC, 161 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Nic Trujillo WR #7 | 10 REC, 146 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Noah Flemmings LB #3 | 43 |
| Marcus Ross LB #30 | 27 | |
| Jabari Tiller DB #1 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Tyrell Brown DL #34 | 2 |
| Carl Fauntroy S #8 | 1 | |
| Kevontay Wells DL #31 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Carl Fauntroy S #8 | 1 |
South Alabama leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jared Hollins QB #7 | 56/92, 855 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Bishop Davenport QB #4 | 40/59, 450 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Keenan Phillips RB #3 | 80 CAR, 444 YDS, 5 TD |
| PJ Martin RB #0 | 92 CAR, 423 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Trae'von Dunbar RB #21 | 45 CAR, 248 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Brendan Jenkins WR #12 | 21 REC, 355 YDS, 3 TD |
| Anthony Eager WR #1 | 11 REC, 305 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jeremiah Jones-Thomas WR #2 | 22 REC, 261 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Micah Woods WR #6 | 8 REC, 127 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Cole Blaylock S #14 | 42 |
| Jordan Williams LB #48 | 33 | |
| Dallas Young S #8 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Stephen Johnson DL #56 | 1.5 |
| Damyrion Darby CB #24 | 1.5 | |
| Masey Lewis DL #18 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Damyrion Darby CB #24 | 3 |
| D.J. Moore S #1 | 1 | |
| Jaylen Moson CB #12 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.