Wk 6 · 2026
South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves — Thu, Oct 8
Thu, Oct 8 ·
Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR
· ESPN2 FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:30pET
ARST -3 · total 59.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 1.5 toward ARST
Ratings differential USA by 1.8
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
South Alabama form
W 56-49at ARSTW 52-35vs ULML 21-45at UKW 41-36vs OHIOL 24-28at TULN
2026 season
Arkansas St form
L 49-56vs USAL 20-23at ULW 17-14vs KENNL 7-31at TCUW 52-7vs WGA
2026 season
South Alabama this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Arkansas St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | South Alabama | Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Sun Belt | vs W 52-35 preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Sun Belt | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at L 20-23 preview |
| Troy Sun Belt | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Southern Miss Sun Belt | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Arkansas St leads 8–7 · South Alabama won the last one
15 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.5 points toward Arkansas St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-08 | South Alabama 56 — 49 Arkansas St | at ARST | South Alabama |
| 2025 | 2025-10-14 | Arkansas St 15 — 14 South Alabama | at USA | Arkansas St |
| 2024 | 2024-10-05 | South Alabama 16 — 18 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2023 | 2023-11-11 | Arkansas St 14 — 21 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2022 | 2022-10-29 | South Alabama 31 — 3 Arkansas St | at ARST | South Alabama |
| 2021 | 2021-10-30 | Arkansas St 13 — 31 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2020 | 2020-11-28 | South Alabama 38 — 31 Arkansas St | at ARST | South Alabama |
| 2019 | 2019-11-29 | Arkansas St 30 — 34 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2018 | 2018-11-03 | South Alabama 14 — 38 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2017 | 2017-11-11 | Arkansas St 19 — 24 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2016 | 2016-10-15 | South Alabama 7 — 17 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2015 | 2015-10-13 | Arkansas St 49 — 31 South Alabama | at USA | Arkansas St |
| 2014 | 2014-11-08 | South Alabama 10 — 45 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2013 | 2013-11-02 | Arkansas St 17 — 16 South Alabama | at USA | Arkansas St |
| 2012 | 2012-10-13 | South Alabama 29 — 36 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
South Alabama leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jared Hollins QB #7 | 56/92, 855 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Bishop Davenport QB #4 | 40/59, 450 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Keenan Phillips RB #3 | 80 CAR, 444 YDS, 5 TD |
| PJ Martin RB #0 | 92 CAR, 423 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Trae'von Dunbar RB #21 | 45 CAR, 248 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Brendan Jenkins WR #12 | 21 REC, 355 YDS, 3 TD |
| Anthony Eager WR #1 | 11 REC, 305 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jeremiah Jones-Thomas WR #2 | 22 REC, 261 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Micah Woods WR #6 | 8 REC, 127 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Cole Blaylock S #14 | 42 |
| Jordan Williams LB #48 | 33 | |
| Dallas Young S #8 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Stephen Johnson DL #56 | 1.5 |
| Damyrion Darby CB #24 | 1.5 | |
| Masey Lewis DL #18 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Damyrion Darby CB #24 | 3 |
| D.J. Moore S #1 | 1 | |
| Jaylen Moson CB #12 | 1 |
Arkansas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trey Owens QB #9 | 121/176, 1461 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT |
| Rushing | Solomon Baggett RB #23 | 46 CAR, 239 YDS, 2 TD |
| Trey Owens QB #9 | 38 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD | |
| James Lee RB #27 | 17 CAR, 123 YDS | |
| Receiving | Hunter Summers WR #3 | 29 REC, 408 YDS, 3 TD |
| Chauncy Cobb WR #2 | 27 REC, 307 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaylen Bonelli WR #10 | 20 REC, 265 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jabari Bush TE #17 | 9 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Joe Drew S #16 | 59 |
| Five Hamilton S #5 | 35 | |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Ryan Reese DT #54 | 1.5 |
| Robert Stevens LB #23 | 1 | |
| Elias Sherman DT #92 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Brandon Greil S #15 | 1 |
| Dontrae Henderson CB #0 | 1 | |
| Robert Stevens LB #23 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.