Wk 10 · 2026
UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves — Sat, Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7 ·
Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 0-5
at
3:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ARST by 16.2
Sun Belt · 2-4
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
UL Monroe form
L 35-52at USAL 17-45vs FAUL 35-38vs SELAL 20-26at UABL 13-62at MSST
2026 season
Arkansas St form
L 49-56vs USAL 20-23at ULW 17-14vs KENNL 7-31at TCUW 52-7vs WGA
2026 season
UL Monroe this season
Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Arkansas St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | UL Monroe | Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Sun Belt | at L 35-52 preview | vs L 49-56 preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Troy Sun Belt | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Southern Miss Sun Belt | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Sun Belt | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at L 20-23 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Arkansas St leads 17–3 · UL Monroe won the last one
20 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
12.3 points toward Arkansas St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-27 | Arkansas St 16 — 28 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2024 | 2024-11-23 | UL Monroe 21 — 28 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2023 | 2023-10-28 | Arkansas St 34 — 24 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-01 | UL Monroe 28 — 45 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2021 | 2021-11-13 | Arkansas St 27 — 24 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2020 | 2020-12-05 | UL Monroe 15 — 48 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2019 | 2019-11-02 | Arkansas St 48 — 41 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2018 | 2018-11-17 | UL Monroe 17 — 31 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2017 | 2017-11-25 | Arkansas St 67 — 50 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2016 | 2016-10-29 | UL Monroe 10 — 51 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2015 | 2015-11-14 | Arkansas St 59 — 21 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2014 | 2014-10-04 | UL Monroe 14 — 28 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2013 | 2013-11-09 | Arkansas St 42 — 14 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2012 | 2012-11-08 | UL Monroe 23 — 45 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2011 | 2011-10-08 | Arkansas St 24 — 19 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2010 | 2010-09-18 | UL Monroe 20 — 34 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2009 | 2009-10-13 | Arkansas St 10 — 16 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2008 | 2008-10-11 | UL Monroe 29 — 37 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2007 | 2007-10-06 | Arkansas St 13 — 30 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2006 | 2006-10-07 | UL Monroe 6 — 10 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
UL Monroe leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Aidan Armenta QB #10 | 69/107, 855 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Austin Carlisle QB #12 | 35/53, 312 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Austin Carlisle QB #12 | 37 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD |
| Bryson Roland RB #25 | 40 CAR, 144 YDS | |
| Derrick Jameson RB #3 | 22 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Marcellus Jackson WR #1 | 26 REC, 234 YDS |
| LT Robinson WR #0 | 12 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Parker Fulghum WR #13 | 13 REC, 161 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Nic Trujillo WR #7 | 10 REC, 146 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Noah Flemmings LB #3 | 43 |
| Marcus Ross LB #30 | 27 | |
| Jabari Tiller DB #1 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Tyrell Brown DL #34 | 2 |
| Carl Fauntroy S #8 | 1 | |
| Kevontay Wells DL #31 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Carl Fauntroy S #8 | 1 |
Arkansas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trey Owens QB #9 | 121/176, 1461 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT |
| Rushing | Solomon Baggett RB #23 | 46 CAR, 239 YDS, 2 TD |
| Trey Owens QB #9 | 38 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD | |
| James Lee RB #27 | 17 CAR, 123 YDS | |
| Receiving | Hunter Summers WR #3 | 29 REC, 408 YDS, 3 TD |
| Chauncy Cobb WR #2 | 27 REC, 307 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaylen Bonelli WR #10 | 20 REC, 265 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jabari Bush TE #17 | 9 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Joe Drew S #16 | 59 |
| Five Hamilton S #5 | 35 | |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Ryan Reese DT #54 | 1.5 |
| Robert Stevens LB #23 | 1 | |
| Elias Sherman DT #92 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Brandon Greil S #15 | 1 |
| Dontrae Henderson CB #0 | 1 | |
| Robert Stevens LB #23 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.