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Wk 8 · 2026

UL Monroe Warhawks at Troy Trojans — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL

Weather

75° / 52° overcast
6% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Sun Belt · 0-5
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TROY by 20.3
Sun Belt · 3-2

What is at stake

A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UL Monroe: -23.9#136
Efficiency margin
Troy: -6.0#91
UL Monroe: 20.6
Offense (pts/100)
Troy: 28.2
UL Monroe: 35.5
Defense (pts/100)
Troy: 25.1
UL Monroe: 67.0
Pace (plays/g)
Troy: 73.2
UL Monroe: 5.45
Yards / play
Troy: 5.87
UL Monroe: 7.19
Yards / play allowed
Troy: 5.79
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UL Monroe: 24.0
Points / game
Troy: 28.0
UL Monroe: 44.6
Points allowed
Troy: 24.0
UL Monroe: 365
Yards / game
Troy: 430
UL Monroe: 512
Yards allowed
Troy: 350
UL Monroe: 268
Pass yds allowed
Troy: 236
UL Monroe: 244
Rush yds allowed
Troy: 114
UL Monroe: 1.20
Turnovers / game
Troy: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UL Monroe form

L 35-52at USAL 17-45vs FAUL 35-38vs SELAL 20-26at UABL 13-62at MSST
2026 season

Troy form

W 55-34vs USML 10-21at USUL 17-27at MIZW 34-17vs ALSTW 24-21vs SHSU
2026 season

UL Monroe this season

Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)

Troy this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentUL MonroeTroy
South Alabama
Sun Belt
at L 35-52 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs W 55-34 preview
Arkansas St
Sun Belt
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Louisiana
Sun Belt
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Troy leads 8–7 · Troy won the last one
15 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.7 points toward Troy
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-18Troy 37 — 14 UL Monroeat ULMTroy
20242024-09-28UL Monroe 13 — 9 Troyat TROYUL Monroe
20232023-11-11Troy 45 — 14 UL Monroeat ULMTroy
20222022-11-19UL Monroe 16 — 34 Troyat TROYTroy
20212021-09-25Troy 16 — 29 UL Monroeat ULMUL Monroe
20182018-09-22Troy 35 — 27 UL Monroeat ULMTroy
20152015-11-07UL Monroe 14 — 51 Troyat TROYTroy
20142014-09-27Troy 20 — 22 UL Monroeat ULMUL Monroe
20132013-10-31UL Monroe 49 — 37 Troyat TROYUL Monroe
20112011-10-15UL Monroe 38 — 10 Troyat TROYUL Monroe
20102010-10-30Troy 14 — 28 UL Monroeat ULMUL Monroe
20092009-10-31UL Monroe 21 — 42 Troyat TROYTroy
20082008-11-01Troy 30 — 31 UL Monroeat ULMUL Monroe
20072007-09-29UL Monroe 7 — 24 Troyat TROYTroy
20062006-10-14UL Monroe 19 — 24 Troyat TROYTroy

UL Monroe leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAidan Armenta QB #1069/107, 855 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT
Austin Carlisle QB #1235/53, 312 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
RushingAustin Carlisle QB #1237 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Bryson Roland RB #2540 CAR, 144 YDS
Derrick Jameson RB #322 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingMarcellus Jackson WR #126 REC, 234 YDS
LT Robinson WR #012 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD
Parker Fulghum WR #1313 REC, 161 YDS, 2 TD
Nic Trujillo WR #710 REC, 146 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesNoah Flemmings LB #343
Marcus Ross LB #3027
Jabari Tiller DB #126
SacksTyrell Brown DL #342
Carl Fauntroy S #81
Kevontay Wells DL #311
InterceptionsCarl Fauntroy S #81

Troy leaders 2026 regular season

PassingGoose Crowder QB #987/153, 1047 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT
Evan Crenshaw P #280/1, 0 YDS
RushingGavin Griffin RB #069 CAR, 337 YDS, 1 TD
Jaheim Merriweather RB #350 CAR, 281 YDS, 4 TD
Jordan Lovett RB #144 CAR, 254 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingTK Keyes WR #812 REC, 270 YDS, 3 TD
Noreel White WR #411 REC, 159 YDS
Howard Kinchen WR #1813 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD
Jace Petty WR #1712 REC, 105 YDS
Defense
TacklesKeno Jones LB #4235
Justin Powe S #630
TJ Thompson LB #425
SacksDonnie Smith DB #225
Keno Jones LB #421.5
Ty Clemons DT #111
InterceptionsKavion Henderson DE #251
TJ Thompson LB #41
Jabari Strait CB #11
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.