Wk 7 · 2026
Troy Trojans at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns — Sat, Oct 17
Sat, Oct 17 ·
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA
· ESPN+
Sun Belt · 3-2
at
5:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UL by 4.8
Sun Belt · 4-2
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Troy form
W 55-34vs USML 10-21at USUL 17-27at MIZW 34-17vs ALSTW 24-21vs SHSU
2026 season
Louisiana form
L 31-32at LTW 23-20vs ARSTW 34-7at CLTW 21-14vs UABL 30-49at USC
2026 season
Troy this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Louisiana this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-1-1 · 80% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Troy | Louisiana |
|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Sun Belt | vs W 55-34 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| UL Monroe Sun Belt | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at L 31-32 preview |
| South Alabama Sun Belt | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Arkansas St Sun Belt | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs W 23-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Troy leads 10–7 · Troy won the last one
17 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.4 points toward Troy
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-25 | Louisiana 23 — 35 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2024 | 2024-11-23 | Troy 30 — 51 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2023 | 2023-11-18 | Louisiana 24 — 31 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2022 | 2022-11-05 | Troy 23 — 17 Louisiana | at UL | Troy |
| 2021 | 2021-11-13 | Louisiana 35 — 21 Troy | at TROY | Louisiana |
| 2019 | 2019-11-23 | Troy 3 — 53 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2018 | 2018-11-03 | Louisiana 16 — 26 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2015 | 2015-12-05 | Troy 41 — 17 Louisiana | at UL | Troy |
| 2014 | 2014-11-29 | Louisiana 42 — 23 Troy | at TROY | Louisiana |
| 2013 | 2013-11-07 | Troy 36 — 41 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2012 | 2012-09-08 | Louisiana 37 — 24 Troy | at TROY | Louisiana |
| 2011 | 2011-10-08 | Troy 17 — 31 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2010 | 2010-10-16 | Louisiana 24 — 31 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2009 | 2009-11-28 | Troy 48 — 31 Louisiana | at UL | Troy |
| 2008 | 2008-11-22 | Louisiana 3 — 48 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2007 | 2007-09-22 | Troy 48 — 31 Louisiana | at UL | Troy |
| 2006 | 2006-11-04 | Louisiana 28 — 42 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
Troy leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Goose Crowder QB #9 | 87/153, 1047 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT |
| Evan Crenshaw P #28 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Gavin Griffin RB #0 | 69 CAR, 337 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jaheim Merriweather RB #3 | 50 CAR, 281 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jordan Lovett RB #1 | 44 CAR, 254 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | TK Keyes WR #8 | 12 REC, 270 YDS, 3 TD |
| Noreel White WR #4 | 11 REC, 159 YDS | |
| Howard Kinchen WR #18 | 13 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jace Petty WR #17 | 12 REC, 105 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Keno Jones LB #42 | 35 |
| Justin Powe S #6 | 30 | |
| TJ Thompson LB #4 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Donnie Smith DB #22 | 5 |
| Keno Jones LB #42 | 1.5 | |
| Ty Clemons DT #11 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kavion Henderson DE #25 | 1 |
| TJ Thompson LB #4 | 1 | |
| Jabari Strait CB #1 | 1 |
Louisiana leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Lunch Winfield QB #7 | 83/110, 844 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| Daniel Beale QB #11 | 5/8, 52 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Lunch Winfield QB #7 | 69 CAR, 364 YDS, 7 TD |
| Anthony Reagan Jr. RB #22 | 39 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Darrell Smith RB #0 | 30 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | KeDarius Wade WR #9 | 7 REC, 125 YDS |
| Russell Babineaux WR #10 | 14 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Caden Jensen TE #88 | 10 REC, 110 YDS | |
| Brock Chappell TE #83 | 9 REC, 100 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Conor McPherson LB #6 | 31 |
| Brent Gordon Jr. CB #11 | 29 | |
| Collin Jacob S #35 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Ashley Williams LB #2 | 1.5 |
| Lance Williams DE #9 | 1 | |
| Avery Demery CB #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Brent Gordon Jr. CB #11 | 2 |
| Jake St. Andre LB #44 | 1 | |
| Collin Jacob S #35 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.