Wk 5 · 2026
Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawks — Sat, Oct 3
Sat, Oct 3 ·
Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
· ESPN+ FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
M-OH -10.5 · total 41.5 DraftKings opened -15.5 · 5 toward BGSU
Ratings differential M-OH by 7.4
What is at stake
A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Bowling Green form
W 38-10vs SACW 24-20at M-OHL 6-14vs USFL 7-55at ISUL 7-56at NEB
2026 season
Miami OH form
W 20-19at MASSL 20-24vs BGSUW 24-21vs CONNL 31-35at CINW 45-7vs HC
2026 season
Bowling Green this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Miami OH this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Bowling Green | Miami OH |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo MAC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| W Michigan MAC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Kent State MAC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| UMass MAC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at W 20-19 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Miami OH leads 10–7 · Bowling Green won the last one
17 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.9 points toward Miami OH
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-03 | Bowling Green 24 — 20 Miami OH | at M-OH | Bowling Green |
| 2024 | 2024-11-29 | Miami OH 28 — 12 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Miami OH |
| 2023 | 2023-10-07 | Bowling Green 0 — 27 Miami OH | at M-OH | Miami OH |
| 2022 | 2022-10-15 | Miami OH 13 — 17 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Bowling Green |
| 2021 | 2021-11-16 | Bowling Green 7 — 34 Miami OH | at M-OH | Miami OH |
| 2019 | 2019-11-13 | Bowling Green 3 — 44 Miami OH | at M-OH | Miami OH |
| 2018 | 2018-09-22 | Miami OH 38 — 23 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Miami OH |
| 2017 | 2017-10-07 | Bowling Green 37 — 29 Miami OH | at M-OH | Bowling Green |
| 2016 | 2016-10-22 | Miami OH 40 — 26 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Miami OH |
| 2013 | 2013-11-05 | Bowling Green 45 — 3 Miami OH | at M-OH | Bowling Green |
| 2012 | 2012-10-13 | Miami OH 12 — 37 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Bowling Green |
| 2011 | 2011-09-24 | Bowling Green 37 — 23 Miami OH | at M-OH | Bowling Green |
| 2010 | 2010-11-10 | Miami OH 24 — 21 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Miami OH |
| 2009 | 2009-11-12 | Bowling Green 35 — 14 Miami OH | at M-OH | Bowling Green |
| 2008 | 2008-10-18 | Miami OH 27 — 20 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Miami OH |
| 2007 | 2007-10-13 | Bowling Green 14 — 47 Miami OH | at M-OH | Miami OH |
| 2006 | 2006-11-15 | Miami OH 9 — 7 Bowling Green | at BGSU | Miami OH |
Bowling Green leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jay Kastantin QB #17 | 83/128, 870 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Austin Novosad QB #16 | 1/5, -1 YDS | |
| Rushing | Austyn Dendy RB #1 | 62 CAR, 185 YDS, 1 TD |
| Nakai Amachree RB #2 | 33 CAR, 113 YDS | |
| Ke'Marion Baldwin RB #4 | 12 CAR, 50 YDS | |
| Receiving | Winn Sharp WR #18 | 15 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jeremiah Scoby TE #0 | 18 REC, 182 YDS | |
| Brennan Ridley WR #5 | 19 REC, 167 YDS | |
| Eli Jacon-Duffy TE #8 | 14 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Pringle LB #3 | 49 |
| Kal-El Pascal S #0 | 38 | |
| Preston EstoEsta S #9 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Myles Bradley DE #23 | 6.5 |
| Eriq George DE #5 | 3 | |
| Cashmire Lewis LB #8 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | JoJo Johnson CB #2 | 1 |
| Drey Braxton DB #1 | 1 |
Miami OH leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | David McComb QB #16 | 65/103, 1121 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT |
| Caleb Heavner QB #6 | 24/33, 234 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Rodney Nelson RB #0 | 44 CAR, 154 YDS |
| Lazaro Rogers RB #21 | 20 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD | |
| D'Shawntae Jones RB #9 | 26 CAR, 72 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Damarion Witten WR #8 | 12 REC, 274 YDS, 2 TD |
| Lynel Billups-Williams WR #10 | 19 REC, 265 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Maleek Huggins WR #1 | 14 REC, 262 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Braylon Isom WR #18 | 10 REC, 153 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Malcolm McCain LB #3 | 39 |
| Blayne Myrick LB #15 | 24 | |
| Dillon Tatum DB #1 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Grant Lyons LB #43 | 2 |
| Tyler Dikos LB #35 | 2 | |
| Roosevelt Andrews III DL #92 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | CJ Young LB #8 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.