Wk 12 · 2026
Colorado State Rams at Fresno State Bulldogs — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA
· CW
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 41 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · 2-3
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential FRES by 10.5
Pac-12 · 4-2
What is at stake
A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Colorado St form
L 26-56vs ORSTL 45-59at UTSAL 23-41vs BYUW 58-24vs SUUW 35-13vs WYO
2026 season
Fresno St form
L 31-38vs BOISW 26-6at WSUW 38-24vs RICEW 26-10at SJSUW 49-3vs SAC
2026 season
Colorado St this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Fresno St this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Colorado St | Fresno St |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon St Pac-12 | vs L 26-56 preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Texas St Pac-12 | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| San Diego St Pac-12 | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Utah State Pac-12 | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Boise St Pac-12 | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs L 31-38 preview |
| Washington St Pac-12 | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at W 26-6 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Colorado St leads 6–3 · Colorado St won the last one
9 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
5.2 points toward Colorado St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-10 | Fresno St 21 — 49 Colorado St | at CSU | Colorado St |
| 2024 | 2024-11-23 | Colorado St 22 — 28 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2020 | 2020-10-29 | Colorado St 17 — 38 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2019 | 2019-10-26 | Colorado St 41 — 31 Fresno St | at FRES | Colorado St |
| 2016 | 2016-11-05 | Fresno St 0 — 37 Colorado St | at CSU | Colorado St |
| 2015 | 2015-11-28 | Colorado St 34 — 31 Fresno St | at FRES | Colorado St |
| 2012 | 2012-10-06 | Fresno St 28 — 7 Colorado St | at CSU | Fresno St |
| 2008 | 2008-12-20 | Colorado St 40 — 35 Fresno St | neutral | Colorado St bowl/CFP |
| 2006 | 2006-09-30 | Colorado St 35 — 23 Fresno St | at FRES | Colorado St |
Colorado St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | K'saan Farrar QB #2 | 63/103, 649 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT |
| Hauss Hejny QB #8 | 47/73, 619 YDS, 10 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Mel Brown RB | 41 CAR, 409 YDS, 3 TD |
| Durell Robinson RB #11 | 62 CAR, 266 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Hauss Hejny QB #8 | 13 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | RJ Vick WR #0 | 24 REC, 367 YDS, 4 TD |
| Terrence Smith Jr. WR #15 | 17 REC, 242 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Cedric Ross RB #22 | 7 REC, 178 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jackson Harper WR #6 | 16 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Oumar Diomande LB #32 | 51 |
| Tre'Shawn Moore S #15 | 37 | |
| Jaseim Mitchell LB #23 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Jack Moran DL #77 | 1.5 |
| Elijah Brown CB #6 | 1.5 | |
| Stephon Wright DL #9 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | CJ Blocker CB #17 | 3 |
| Oumar Diomande LB #32 | 2 | |
| D'Angelo Hagans Jr. CB #5 | 1 |
Fresno St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 91/137, 1034 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Jordan Malau'ulu WR #10 | 1/1, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 42 CAR, 286 YDS, 1 TD |
| Bryson Donelson RB #6 | 48 CAR, 206 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 35 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Josiah Freeman WR #5 | 25 REC, 322 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ezekiel Avit WR #0 | 13 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jahlil McClain WR #1 | 12 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 12 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | K'vion Thunderbird LB #10 | 39 |
| Simeon Harris DB #5 | 25 | |
| Gerayas Grimes DB #27 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Dylan Hampsten DL #11 | 3 |
| Tytus Khajavi LB #35 | 2 | |
| Deijon Laffitte DL #0 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Simeon Harris DB #5 | 3 |
| Ethan Tierney DB #4 | 2 | |
| Justin Johnson LB #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.