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Wk 8 · 2026

San Diego State Aztecs at Colorado State Rams — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, CO · CW

Weather at kickoff

72°F clear
3% chance of precipitation · wind 5 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
6:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CSU by 3.9
Pac-12 · 2-3

What is at stake

A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

San Diego St: -9.4#104
Efficiency margin
Colorado St: -7.9#101
San Diego St: 24.8
Offense (pts/100)
Colorado St: 31.2
San Diego St: 25.2
Defense (pts/100)
Colorado St: 30.1
San Diego St: 60.7
Pace (plays/g)
Colorado St: 67.2
San Diego St: 4.58
Yards / play
Colorado St: 6.67
San Diego St: 5.90
Yards / play allowed
Colorado St: 7.78
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

San Diego St: 22.8
Points / game
Colorado St: 37.4
San Diego St: 35.0
Points allowed
Colorado St: 38.6
San Diego St: 278
Yards / game
Colorado St: 448
San Diego St: 478
Yards allowed
Colorado St: 493
San Diego St: 299
Pass yds allowed
Colorado St: 265
San Diego St: 179
Rush yds allowed
Colorado St: 229
San Diego St: 1.50
Turnovers / game
Colorado St: 0.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

San Diego St form

L 14-66at ORSTW 31-29vs TXSTL 16-41at TOLL 13-26vs JMUL 10-28at UCLA
2026 season

Colorado St form

L 26-56vs ORSTL 45-59at UTSAL 23-41vs BYUW 58-24vs SUUW 35-13vs WYO
2026 season

San Diego St this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Colorado St this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentSan Diego StColorado St
Texas St
Pac-12
vs W 31-29 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Oregon St
Pac-12
at L 14-66 previewvs L 26-56 preview
Fresno St
Pac-12
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Washington St
Pac-12
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Utah State
Pac-12
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Boise St
Pac-12
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, San Diego St leads 10–3 · San Diego St won the last one
13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.2 points toward San Diego St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-03Colorado St 24 — 45 San Diego Stat SDSUSan Diego St
20232023-11-11San Diego St 19 — 22 Colorado Stat CSUColorado St
20202020-12-05Colorado St 17 — 29 San Diego Stat SDSUSan Diego St
20192019-10-05San Diego St 24 — 10 Colorado Stat CSUSan Diego St
20162016-11-26Colorado St 63 — 31 San Diego Stat SDSUColorado St
20152015-10-31San Diego St 41 — 17 Colorado Stat CSUSan Diego St
20122012-10-13Colorado St 14 — 38 San Diego Stat SDSUSan Diego St
20112011-11-12San Diego St 18 — 15 Colorado Stat CSUSan Diego St
20102010-11-06Colorado St 19 — 24 San Diego Stat SDSUSan Diego St
20092009-10-24San Diego St 42 — 28 Colorado Stat CSUSan Diego St
20082008-10-25Colorado St 38 — 34 San Diego Stat SDSUColorado St
20072007-10-06San Diego St 24 — 20 Colorado Stat CSUSan Diego St
20062006-12-02Colorado St 6 — 17 San Diego Stat SDSUSan Diego St

San Diego St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJayden Denegal QB #471/122, 709 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT
Draiden Trudeau QB #134/6, 53 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJavion Kinnard RB #2156 CAR, 312 YDS, 1 TD
Josiah Lucas RB #2334 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD
Lucky Sutton RB #745 CAR, 150 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingNathan Acevedo WR #1316 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD
Jacob Bostick WR #176 REC, 90 YDS
Javion Kinnard RB #216 REC, 81 YDS
Bert Emanuel Jr. WR #56 REC, 80 YDS
Defense
TacklesSione Hala LB #053
Jelani McLaughlin S #2037
Josh Hunter S #2936
SacksDjibril Rahman LB #453
Alijah Lash LB #412
Sione Hala LB #01
InterceptionsMike Lindsay CB #272
Kai Wallin LB #181
Isaiah Green S #141

Colorado St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingK'saan Farrar QB #263/103, 649 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
Hauss Hejny QB #847/73, 619 YDS, 10 TD, 1 INT
RushingMel Brown RB 41 CAR, 409 YDS, 3 TD
Durell Robinson RB #1162 CAR, 266 YDS, 4 TD
Hauss Hejny QB #813 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingRJ Vick WR #024 REC, 367 YDS, 4 TD
Terrence Smith Jr. WR #1517 REC, 242 YDS, 3 TD
Cedric Ross RB #227 REC, 178 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Harper WR #616 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesOumar Diomande LB #3251
Tre'Shawn Moore S #1537
Jaseim Mitchell LB #2331
SacksJack Moran DL #771.5
Elijah Brown CB #61.5
Stephon Wright DL #91
InterceptionsCJ Blocker CB #173
Oumar Diomande LB #322
D'Angelo Hagans Jr. CB #51
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.