Wk 7 · 2026
Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs — Sat, Oct 17
Sat, Oct 17 ·
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
· CBSSN
Pac-12 · 4-2
at
10:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential FRES by 7.2
Pac-12 · 2-4
What is at stake
A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Fresno St form
L 31-38vs BOISW 26-6at WSUW 38-24vs RICEW 26-10at SJSUW 49-3vs SAC
2026 season
San Diego St form
L 14-66at ORSTW 31-29vs TXSTL 16-41at TOLL 13-26vs JMUL 10-28at UCLA
2026 season
Fresno St this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
San Diego St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Fresno St | San Diego St |
|---|---|---|
| Washington St Pac-12 | at W 26-6 preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Boise St Pac-12 | vs L 31-38 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Oregon St Pac-12 | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at L 14-66 preview |
| Utah State Pac-12 | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Texas St Pac-12 | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs W 31-29 preview |
| Colorado St Pac-12 | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Fresno St leads 7–6 · San Diego St has won the last 2
13 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.5 points toward San Diego St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-25 | San Diego St 23 — 0 Fresno St | at FRES | San Diego St |
| 2023 | 2023-11-25 | Fresno St 18 — 33 San Diego St | at SDSU | San Diego St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-29 | San Diego St 28 — 32 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2021 | 2021-10-30 | Fresno St 30 — 20 San Diego St | at SDSU | Fresno St |
| 2019 | 2019-11-15 | Fresno St 7 — 17 San Diego St | at SDSU | San Diego St |
| 2018 | 2018-11-17 | San Diego St 14 — 23 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2017 | 2017-10-21 | Fresno St 27 — 3 San Diego St | at SDSU | Fresno St |
| 2016 | 2016-10-14 | San Diego St 17 — 3 Fresno St | at FRES | San Diego St |
| 2015 | 2015-10-03 | Fresno St 7 — 21 San Diego St | at SDSU | San Diego St |
| 2014 | 2014-10-03 | San Diego St 13 — 24 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2013 | 2013-10-26 | Fresno St 35 — 28 San Diego St | at SDSU | Fresno St |
| 2012 | 2012-09-29 | San Diego St 40 — 52 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2011 | 2011-12-03 | Fresno St 28 — 35 San Diego St | at SDSU | San Diego St |
Fresno St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 91/137, 1034 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Jordan Malau'ulu WR #10 | 1/1, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 42 CAR, 286 YDS, 1 TD |
| Bryson Donelson RB #6 | 48 CAR, 206 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 35 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Josiah Freeman WR #5 | 25 REC, 322 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ezekiel Avit WR #0 | 13 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jahlil McClain WR #1 | 12 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 12 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | K'vion Thunderbird LB #10 | 39 |
| Simeon Harris DB #5 | 25 | |
| Gerayas Grimes DB #27 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Dylan Hampsten DL #11 | 3 |
| Tytus Khajavi LB #35 | 2 | |
| Deijon Laffitte DL #0 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Simeon Harris DB #5 | 3 |
| Ethan Tierney DB #4 | 2 | |
| Justin Johnson LB #25 | 1 |
San Diego St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Denegal QB #4 | 71/122, 709 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT |
| Draiden Trudeau QB #13 | 4/6, 53 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Javion Kinnard RB #21 | 56 CAR, 312 YDS, 1 TD |
| Josiah Lucas RB #23 | 34 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Lucky Sutton RB #7 | 45 CAR, 150 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Nathan Acevedo WR #13 | 16 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jacob Bostick WR #17 | 6 REC, 90 YDS | |
| Javion Kinnard RB #21 | 6 REC, 81 YDS | |
| Bert Emanuel Jr. WR #5 | 6 REC, 80 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Sione Hala LB #0 | 53 |
| Jelani McLaughlin S #20 | 37 | |
| Josh Hunter S #29 | 36 | |
| Sacks | Djibril Rahman LB #45 | 3 |
| Alijah Lash LB #41 | 2 | |
| Sione Hala LB #0 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Mike Lindsay CB #27 | 2 |
| Kai Wallin LB #18 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Green S #14 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.