Wk 6 · 2026
San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers — Sat, Oct 10
Sat, Oct 10 ·
Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
· USA Net FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
6:00pET
ORST -14.5 · total 52.5 DraftKings opened -13.5 · 1 toward ORST
Ratings differential ORST by 19.2
What is at stake
A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
San Diego St form
L 14-66at ORSTW 31-29vs TXSTL 16-41at TOLL 13-26vs JMUL 10-28at UCLA
2026 season
Oregon St form
W 66-14vs SDSUW 56-26at CSUW 33-7at UTEPW 52-17vs MONTL 24-35vs TTU
2026 season
San Diego St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Oregon St this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread6-0 · 100% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | San Diego St | Oregon St |
|---|---|---|
| Texas St Pac-12 | vs W 31-29 preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Fresno St Pac-12 | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Colorado St Pac-12 | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at W 56-26 preview |
| Washington St Pac-12 | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Utah State Pac-12 | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Boise St Pac-12 | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Oregon St leads 5–0 · Oregon St has won the last 5
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
23.0 points toward Oregon St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-10 | San Diego St 14 — 66 Oregon St | at ORST | Oregon St |
| 2024 | 2024-09-07 | Oregon St 21 — 0 San Diego St | at SDSU | Oregon St |
| 2023 | 2023-09-16 | San Diego St 9 — 26 Oregon St | at ORST | Oregon St |
| 2014 | 2014-09-20 | San Diego St 7 — 28 Oregon St | at ORST | Oregon St |
| 2013 | 2013-09-21 | Oregon St 34 — 30 San Diego St | at SDSU | Oregon St |
San Diego St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Denegal QB #4 | 71/122, 709 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT |
| Draiden Trudeau QB #13 | 4/6, 53 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Javion Kinnard RB #21 | 56 CAR, 312 YDS, 1 TD |
| Josiah Lucas RB #23 | 34 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Lucky Sutton RB #7 | 45 CAR, 150 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Nathan Acevedo WR #13 | 16 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jacob Bostick WR #17 | 6 REC, 90 YDS | |
| Javion Kinnard RB #21 | 6 REC, 81 YDS | |
| Bert Emanuel Jr. WR #5 | 6 REC, 80 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Sione Hala LB #0 | 53 |
| Jelani McLaughlin S #20 | 37 | |
| Josh Hunter S #29 | 36 | |
| Sacks | Djibril Rahman LB #45 | 3 |
| Alijah Lash LB #41 | 2 | |
| Sione Hala LB #0 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Mike Lindsay CB #27 | 2 |
| Kai Wallin LB #18 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Green S #14 | 1 |
Oregon St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Braden Atkinson QB #2 | 137/197, 1848 YDS, 16 TD, 2 INT |
| Maalik Murphy QB #6 | 3/4, 28 YDS | |
| Rushing | AJ Newberry RB #23 | 45 CAR, 271 YDS, 2 TD |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. RB #3 | 24 CAR, 120 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Tre Garrison RB #22 | 20 CAR, 78 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jesse Legree WR #12 | 28 REC, 741 YDS, 9 TD |
| Eric Olsen TE #80 | 24 REC, 236 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Aeryn Hampton WR #7 | 17 REC, 197 YDS, 1 TD | |
| AJ Newberry RB #23 | 17 REC, 159 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Aiden Sullivan LB #2 | 39 |
| Takari Hickle LB #44 | 26 | |
| Gyriece Goodman LB #12 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Takari Hickle LB #44 | 3.5 |
| Aiden Sullivan LB #2 | 2 | |
| Tevita Pome'e DT #59 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | TJ Crandall DB #4 | 1 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale III DB #8 | 1 | |
| Drake Vickers DB #36 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.